Match Info
NPL Premier Division - Round 10Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday
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 |
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Warrington Rylands |
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Ashton United |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.3 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
|
 |
2.28 |
3.2 |
2.78 |
|
 |
3.60 |
1.84 |
3.94 |
 Watch |
 |
2.34 |
3.52 |
2.8 |
|
 |
2.35 |
3.26 |
2.65 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.4) |
3 ↓
(3.6) |
2.95 ↑
(2.4) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Warrington Rylands
36.7% | Draw
31.4% | Ashton United
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Warrington Rylands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ashton United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Rylands than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ashton United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Warrington Rylands - Ashton United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Gilchrist J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', 1 - 1, Hardcastle B. (Pen),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 9)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warrington Rylands won 1.Warrington Rylands is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).Ashton is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Ashton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Ashton has had a series of home games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Warrington Rylands won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, Warrington Rylands won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Warrington Rylands - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.5%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English NPL Premier Division | | | 21.12.24 | Ashton United - Warrington Rylands | 1:1 | | 13.08.24 | Warrington Rylands - Ashton United | 3:4 | | 06.01.24 | Ashton United - Warrington Rylands | 0:0 | | 22.08.23 | Warrington Rylands - Ashton United | 2:0 | | 07.01.23 | Warrington Rylands - Ashton United | 0:3 | | 20.08.22 | Ashton United - Warrington Rylands | 3:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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