Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Ashton United		Scarborough Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.8
	3.6	3.5	1.77
	3.8	3.75	1.78
	3.7	3.75	1.77
	4.92	2.60	2.05	Watch
	3.8	3.8	1.9	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (3.74)	3.5 ↓ (3.65)	1.84 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ashton United
23.8%

Draw
26.2%

Scarborough Athletic
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

25.1%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

24.3%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Scarborough Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Ashton United - Scarborough Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Ashton is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Scarborough is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Scarborough is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ashton won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ashton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
09.09.25	Ashton United - Bamber Bridge	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.09.25	Ashton United - Hallam	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Hallam - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
25.08.25	Ashton United - United of Manchester	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Workington - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWTWT
- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
06.09.25	Chester - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
02.09.25	Scarborough Athletic - Buxton	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Scarborough Athletic - Southport	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Merthyr Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Scarborough Athletic - Peterborough Sports	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
09.04.22	Ashton United - Scarborough Athletic	0:0
17.08.21	Scarborough Athletic - Ashton United	1:1
English FA Cup
22.09.20	Scarborough Athletic - Ashton United	0:2
English NPL Premier Division
07.03.20	Ashton United - Scarborough Athletic	2:0
01.02.20	Scarborough Athletic - Ashton United	3:1

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