Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 6

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday


	Warrington Town		Curzon Ashton

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.30	3.10
	1.98	3.20	3.10
	2.05	3.55	3.15
	2.07	3.6	3.23	Watch
	2.02	3.45	3.05
	1.87	3.74	3.74
	1.99	3.40	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.83)	3.46 ↓ (3.91)	3.24 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Warrington Town
45.6%

Draw
26.3%

Curzon Ashton
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

23.7%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

22.9%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warrington Town's form might have worsened.

Curzon Ashton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Warrington Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Warrington Town - Curzon Ashton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Curran A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
76', 0 - 2, Robertson H. (Penalty Awarded),
82', 0 - 3, Lawal O. ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 4, Lawal O. ⚽,

Preview

Warrington is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Curzon Ashton is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Warrington will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warrington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Warrington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Curzon Ashton	10	6	1	3	21:11	10	19
9	Warrington	10	5	3	2	20:16	4	18

Last Results with these Odds

Curzon Ashton - the odds 3.64 are the expected chance of winning is 25.51%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrington Town
English NPL Premier Division
22.08.26	Whitby Town - Warrington Town	0:5 ✺
18.08.26	Ilkeston - Warrington Town	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Warrington Town - Cleethorpes Town	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	Warrington Town - Hyde United	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Marine - Warrington Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWTWL
- Curzon Ashton
English NPL Premier Division
22.08.26	Curzon Ashton - Guiseley	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Curzon Ashton - Bamber Bridge	2:2 ✺
14.08.26	Emley - Curzon Ashton	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Bury - Curzon Ashton	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Curzon Ashton - Halifax Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
05.04.25	Curzon Ashton - Warrington Town	1:0
10.12.24	Warrington Town - Curzon Ashton	0:1
17.02.24	Curzon Ashton - Warrington Town	0:3
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Warrington Town - Curzon Ashton	2:3
English National League North
28.08.23	Warrington Town - Curzon Ashton	1:4

Upcoming Matches