The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski 48.2%
Draw 25.6%
Polonia Nysa 26.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.7%
23.5%
22.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.9%
22.6%
22%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski's form might have worsened.
Polonia Nysa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Nysa than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 11th and 17th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warta Gorzów won 1.
In recent outings, Warta Gorzów has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Polonia Nysa is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Polonia Nysa could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Warta Gorzów for this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Warta Gorzów has recorded 1 win, 5 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:5 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Warta Gorzów against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1:0.7 per game).