Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group III - Round 27

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski		Raków Częstochowa II

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.7
	2.24	3.55	2.83	Watch
	2.2	3.55	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.75)	3.5 ↓ (3.6)	2.73 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
41.1%

Draw
25.8%

Raków Częstochowa II
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

25.3%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

24.8%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski's performance.

Raków Częstochowa II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raków Częstochowa II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa II than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raków Częstochowa II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Ufir D. ⚽,
69', 2 - 0, Bielawski A. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Jurczynski P. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
Polish Division 3 - Group III
20.04.24	Pniówek Pawłowice - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Śląsk Wrocław 2	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Polkowice - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTTWL
- Raków Częstochowa II
Polish Division 3 - Group III
20.04.24	Raków Częstochowa II - Odra Bytom Odrzański	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Raków Częstochowa II	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Raków Częstochowa II - Starowice Dolne	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Unia Turza Śląska - Raków Częstochowa II	0:2 ✺
23.03.24	Raków Częstochowa II - Ślęza Wrocław	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
30.09.23	Raków Częstochowa II - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	0:1
24.05.23	Raków Częstochowa II - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	0:2
22.10.22	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Raków Częstochowa II	1:2

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