Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 2

Date: 29 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion Dyskobolii (Grodzisk Wielkopolski)

Referee: Jakubik K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Warta Poznań		Górnik Zabrze

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.95
	2.3	3.2	3.1
	2.49	3.15	3.18
	2.35	2.9	3	Watch
	2.42	3.2	3.02	Watch
	2.52	3.15	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.6)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	3.02 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
38.8%

Draw
30.1%

Górnik Zabrze
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

30%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

30.5%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Warta Poznań - Górnik Zabrze Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Warta: 6.6% – 60%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lis A. (G) 21. Kupczak M. (C) 44. Szymonowicz D. 34. Plesnierowicz W. 2. Bartkowski J. 16. Luis M. 6. Zurawski M. 3. Kielb J. 7. Szmyt K. 29. Vizinger D. 77. Savic S.	1. Bielica D. (G) 2. Sekulic B. 13. Triantafyllopoulos K. 26. Janicki R. 5. Szczesniak K. 6. Rasak D. 17. Lukoszek K. 18. Yokota D. 10. Podolski L. (C) 16. Olkowski P. 21. Krawczyk P.
Substitutes
28. Borowski F. 33. Grobelny J. (G) 97. Kaminski W. 8. Maenpaa N. 25. Paszkowski J. 27. Przybylko K. 4. Stavropoulos D. 20. Wajman J. 99. Zrelak A.	20. Chmarek M. 96. Dadok R. 11. Ennali L. 3. Jensen R. 9. Musiolik S. 27. Szala D. 32. Szromnik M. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 19. Zielonka N.
Coaches
Szulczek D.	Urban J.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Warta won 1.

Recent matches Warta is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Górnik Zabrze has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Warta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Warta have a series of home games.

Recently Górnik Zabrze have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Warta won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.07.23	Warta Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.23	Warta Poznań - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	3:0 ✺
14.07.23	Warta Poznań - Mladá Boleslav	0:1 ✺
08.07.23	Warta Poznań - Chrobry Głogów	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Warta Poznań - Cracovia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLTT
- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.07.23	Górnik Zabrze - Radomiak Radom	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.23	Köln - Górnik Zabrze	3:1 ✺
16.07.23	Hannover - Górnik Zabrze	3:0 ✺
15.07.23	Schalke 04 - Górnik Zabrze	5:0 ✺
09.07.23	Paderborn - Górnik Zabrze	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
05.05.23	Górnik Zabrze - Warta Poznań	2:0
23.10.22	Warta Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	0:0
12.03.22	Warta Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	2:1
19.09.21	Górnik Zabrze - Warta Poznań	1:0
Club Friendly
10.07.21	Warta Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	1:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.04.21	Górnik Zabrze - Warta Poznań	1:2
26.10.20	Warta Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	0:1

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