Match Info

POLAND: EKSTRAKLASA - ROUND 6

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Respect Energy Stadium (Grodzisk Wielkopolski)

Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport


	Warta Poznań		Cracovia

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.3	3.3	3.1
	2.28	3.15	3.6
	2.25	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.18	3.3	3.38	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.41)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	3.26 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
41.8%

Draw
29.5%

Cracovia
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.4%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

29.3%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	25%	41.7%

Warta Poznań - Cracovia Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Cracovia will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cracovia: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Grobelny J. (G) 4. Stavropoulos D. 44. Szymonowicz D. 21. Kupczak M. (C) 2. Bartkowski J. 77. Savic S. 16. Luis M. 3. Kielb J. 7. Szmyt K. 99. Zrelak A. 29. Vizinger D.	13. Madejski S. (G) 5. Ghita V. 24. Jugas J. (C) 22. Hoskonen A. 18. Oshima T. 2. Rapa C. 10. Rakoczy M. 17. Bochnak M. 6. Atanasov J. 9. Kallman B. 7. Makuch P.
Substitutes
28. Borowski F. 97. Kaminski W. 15. Kopczynski M. 31. Krzyzak O. 12. Kustosz M. (G) 8. Maenpaa N. 22. Matuszewski K. 34. Plesnierowicz W. 6. Zurawski M.	31. Hrosso L. (G) 87. Hyla O. 36. Jodlowski K. 20. Knap K. 14. Lusiusz S. 38. Myszor J. 21. Smiglewski K. 55. Stachera M. 73. Zaucha P.
Coaches
Szulczek D.	Zielinski J.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Warta won 2.

Recent matches Warta is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cracovia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cracovia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cracovia have a series of home games.

Warta will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Warta won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Warta won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.08.23	Radomiak Radom - Warta Poznań	3:2 ✺
14.08.23	Warta Poznań - Ruch Chorzów	2:2 ✺
05.08.23	Raków Częstochowa - Warta Poznań	2:2 ✺
29.07.23	Warta Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	2:0 ✺
21.07.23	Warta Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTTWL
- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.08.23	Cracovia - Piast Gliwice	1:1 ✺
11.08.23	Cracovia - Zagłębie Lubin	2:1 ✺
05.08.23	Radomiak Radom - Cracovia	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Cracovia - PAS Giannina	0:0 ✺
23.07.23	Cracovia - Hapoel Jerusalem	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.07.23	Warta Poznań - Cracovia	1:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
12.03.23	Warta Poznań - Cracovia	0:0
28.08.22	Cracovia - Warta Poznań	0:2
10.04.22	Warta Poznań - Cracovia	1:0
17.10.21	Cracovia - Warta Poznań	2:0
16.05.21	Cracovia - Warta Poznań	0:1
Polish Cup
09.02.21	Warta Poznań - Cracovia	0:1

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