Match Info

Division 2 - Round 28

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion przy Drodze Dębińskiej (Poznań)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP 3


	Warta Poznań		Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.25	2.48	Watch
	2.61	3.5	2.58
	2.55	3.51	2.55	Watch
	2.45	3	2.5
	2.52	3.2	2.48	Watch
	2.22	3.3	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.19)	3.29 ↓ (3.33)	2.57 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
36.9%

Draw
27.7%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

27.2%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

26.5%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Warta Poznań, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Warta Poznań - Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Przybylak L. (G) 24. Avdeev D. 20. Dziedzic K. 16. Kornobis I. 8. Kumoch K. (C) 23. Kusztal P. 2. Lepczynski K. 3. Michalski S. 99. Smoczynski M. 17. Stefaniak M. 21. Zylla M.	1. Forenc K. (C) 4. Biernat M. 22. Gach K. 6. Kizyma M. 90. Klisiewicz L. 21. Kolanko K. 7. Sitek M. 98. Slomka W. 2. Sochan K. 37. Tomczyk O. 14. Urynowicz M.
Substitutes
35. Jakubowski F. 1. Kosiorek J. (G) 15. Kwiatkowski P. 13. Niedzielski J. 29. Rychert K. 9. Stanek M. 71. Steblecki S. 19. Szymanek K. 11. Tonder F.	33. Bieronski B. 99. Branczyk S. (G) 28. Czerwik J. 77. Florek B. 10. Kanach R. 17. Majsterek J. 84. Martosz B. 8. Takac D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', Lepczynski K. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Biernat M. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Tomczyk O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Michalski S. ↓, Kwiatkowski P. ↑,
46', Kornobis I. ↓, Rychert K. ↑,
46', Dziedzic K. ↓, Steblecki S. ↑,
66', Urynowicz M. ↓, Kanach R. ↑,
70', 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warta won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Podbeskidzie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Warta won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Warta won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.29%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 2
15.04.26	Warta Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław 2	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Stal Stalowa Wola - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Sokół Kleczew - Warta Poznań	1:3 ✺
22.03.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Warta Poznań	2:2 ✺
18.03.26	Warta Poznań - Swit Skolwin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWTT
- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Division 2
12.04.26	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Unia Skierniewice - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:4 ✺
29.03.26	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - KKS Kalisz	4:1 ✺
22.03.26	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Hutnik - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
04.10.25	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Warta Poznań	2:3
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.03.21	Warta Poznań - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:0
19.10.20	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Warta Poznań	1:2
Polish Division 1
09.03.20	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Warta Poznań	2:0
21.08.19	Warta Poznań - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:1
Club Friendly
20.07.19	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Warta Poznań	0:1
Polish Division 1
10.03.19	Warta Poznań - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	4:3

Upcoming Matches