Match Info

Date: 25 July 2020, Saturday


	Warta Poznań		Stomil Olsztyn

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.3	2.45
	2.4	3.2	2.6
	2.6	3.2	2.48
	2.6	3.2	2.55
	2.74	3.42	2.57
	2.62	3.2	2.45
	2.69	3.42	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.19)	3.28 ↓ (3.48)	2.52 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
35.3%

Draw
28.1%

Stomil Olsztyn
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

26.5%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

18.7%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warta Poznań's form might have worsened.

Stomil Olsztyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stomil Olsztyn's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Warta Poznań that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stomil Olsztyn than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stomil Olsztyn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Warta Poznań - Stomil Olsztyn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 1
18.07.20	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Warta Poznań	1:2 ✺
14.07.20	Warta Poznań - GKS Tychy	2:2 ✺
10.07.20	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Warta Poznań	0:2 ✺
04.07.20	Warta Poznań - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2 ✺
30.06.20	Warta Poznań - Chrobry Głogów	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWLL
- Stomil Olsztyn
Polish Division 1
18.07.20	Stomil Olsztyn - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
15.07.20	Puszcza Niepołomice - Stomil Olsztyn	0:0 ✺
11.07.20	Stomil Olsztyn - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
05.07.20	Termalica Nieciecza - Stomil Olsztyn	2:0 ✺
02.07.20	Stomil Olsztyn - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
09.11.19	Stomil Olsztyn - Warta Poznań	1:3
10.11.18	Warta Poznań - Stomil Olsztyn	0:1
03.10.18	Stomil Olsztyn - Warta Poznań	0:1
Club Friendly
14.07.15	Warta Poznań - Stomil Olsztyn	0:1
Polish Division 1
22.05.13	Warta Poznań - Stomil Olsztyn	1:1

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