Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 32

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday


	Stomil Olsztyn		Olimpia Grudziądz

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	2.75	3.1	2.4
	2.57	3.04	2.77
	3.06	2.87	2.48
	2.75	3.1	2.25
	2.91	3.2	2.35	Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.75)	3.09 ↓ (3.25)	2.44 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stomil Olsztyn
33%

Draw
29.6%

Olimpia Grudziądz
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

28.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

28.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stomil Olsztyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Olimpia Grudziądz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stomil Olsztyn than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Stomil Olsztyn - Olimpia Grudziądz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Garstkiewicz M. (G) 77. Florek B. 50. Karlikowski M. 4. Kosmicki I. 3. Kuban L. 23. Laskowski F. 19. Pietraszkiewicz D. 8. Retlewski D. 14. Szabaciuk F. 17. Szramowski L. 26. Walencik B. (C)	30. Gorski K. (G) 10. Cichon K. 7. Czarnowski P. 44. Frelek D. 4. Kostkowski D. (C) 11. Krocz S. 42. Rabet F. 29. Rychert K. 6. Sikorski O. 93. Tsyupa I. 25. Zbiciak B.
Substitutes
51. Abramczyk M. 27. Brikner I. 74. Drabiszczak M. 16. Gwardiak K. 6. Kopacz J. 9. Kurbiel P. 12. Szpaderski J. (G) 29. Tuleja R.	99. Chadala F. (G) 88. Cherniy K. 16. Glapka G. 5. Goralski W. 18. Jarzec K. 8. Kurowski K. 2. Maruszak I. 23. Yampol Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Laskowski F. 🟨,
34', Kostkowski D. 🟨,
41', Czarnowski P. 🟨,
45', Kosmicki I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Czarnowski P. ↓, Yampol Y. ↑,
69', Pietraszkiewicz D. ↓, Kurbiel P. ↑,
70', Florek B. ↓, Gwardiak K. ↑,
78', Laskowski F. ↓, Brikner I. ↑,
84', Zbiciak B. 🟥,
86', Brikner I. 🟨,
89', Szabaciuk F. ↓, Tuleja R. ↑,
90+6', 0 - 1, Krocz S. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stomil won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Stomil won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Stomil won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stomil Olsztyn
Polish Division 2
03.05.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Stomil Olsztyn	2:0 ✺
29.04.24	Stomil Olsztyn - Lech Poznań 2	1:0 ✺
22.04.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Stomil Olsztyn	1:1 ✺
12.04.24	Stomil Olsztyn - Polonia Bytom	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Stomil Olsztyn	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTLT
- Olimpia Grudziądz
Polish Division 2
04.05.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:3 ✺
29.04.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Wisła Puławy	1:0 ✺
12.04.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - GKS Jastrzębie	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
28.10.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Stomil Olsztyn	3:0
Polish Division 1
02.07.20	Stomil Olsztyn - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:0
06.10.19	Olimpia Grudziądz - Stomil Olsztyn	1:0
11.04.18	Stomil Olsztyn - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:1
27.08.17	Olimpia Grudziądz - Stomil Olsztyn	1:1
21.05.17	Stomil Olsztyn - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:3
29.10.16	Olimpia Grudziądz - Stomil Olsztyn	0:0

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