Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 10

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday


	Warta Sieradz		Unia Skierniewice

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.7	1.88
	3.05	4.3	1.84
	3.48	3.66	1.78
	3.51	3.86	1.84
	3.54	3.7	1.83	Watch
	3.05	4.3	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.64)	3.92 ↑ (3.6)	1.84 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Sieradz
27.5%

Draw
23.1%

Unia Skierniewice
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

25%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

24.4%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Sieradz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warta Sieradz's form might have worsened.

Unia Skierniewice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unia Skierniewice's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Sieradz than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Warta Sieradz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Skierniewice than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unia Skierniewice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Warta Sieradz - Unia Skierniewice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Sabillo K. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Piela J. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 1, Krecichwost B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 3 - 1, Macczak B. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Recently Unia Skierniewice have a series of guest games.

Unia Skierniewice will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Warta Sieradz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Warta Sieradz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Sieradz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.09.24	ŁKS Łomża - Warta Sieradz	1:3 ✺
14.09.24	Warta Sieradz - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Warta Sieradz - Wisła Płock II	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	1:4 ✺
15.08.24	Stomil Olsztyn - Warta Sieradz	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWTWL
- Unia Skierniewice
Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.09.24	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Unia Skierniewice	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	GKS Bełchatów - Unia Skierniewice	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	ŁKS Łomża - Unia Skierniewice	1:1 ✺
30.08.24	Unia Skierniewice - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Victoria Sulejówek - Unia Skierniewice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
09.03.24	Unia Skierniewice - Warta Sieradz	5:1
19.08.23	Warta Sieradz - Unia Skierniewice	1:5
10.06.23	Unia Skierniewice - Warta Sieradz	3:2
12.11.22	Warta Sieradz - Unia Skierniewice	1:2

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