Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 18

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Lomzy (Lomza)


	ŁKS Łomża		Warta Sieradz

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.6
	2.02	3.65	3.08	Watch
	1.78	3.91	3.81	Watch
	1.81	3.66	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.14)	3.71 ↑ (3.55)	3.5 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łomża
49.3%

Draw
24.6%

Warta Sieradz
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

25.2%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

26.7%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łomża has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ŁKS Łomża's performance.

Warta Sieradz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warta Sieradz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ŁKS Łomża than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ŁKS Łomża that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Sieradz than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Warta Sieradz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

ŁKS Łomża - Warta Sieradz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Kacperski O. ⚽,
76', 1 - 1, Kluska M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ŁKS Łomża won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

ŁKS Łomża could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, ŁKS Łomża won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, ŁKS Łomża won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łomża
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.11.25	Mławianka Mława - ŁKS Łomża	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	ŁKS Łomża - Troszyn	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	GKS Bełchatów - ŁKS Łomża	1:4 ✺
29.10.25	Legia II - ŁKS Łomża	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	ŁKS Łomża - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWTW
- Warta Sieradz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.11.25	Warta Sieradz - Broń Radom	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Wigry Suwałki - Warta Sieradz	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Warta Sieradz - Wikielec	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Wisła Płock II - Warta Sieradz	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Warta Sieradz - Wasilków	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
02.08.25	Warta Sieradz - ŁKS Łomża	1:2
18.04.25	Warta Sieradz - ŁKS Łomża	1:0
21.09.24	ŁKS Łomża - Warta Sieradz	1:3
23.03.24	ŁKS Łomża - Warta Sieradz	2:0
27.08.23	Warta Sieradz - ŁKS Łomża	2:2
26.05.18	Warta Sieradz - ŁKS Łomża	0:2
28.10.17	ŁKS Łomża - Warta Sieradz	0:1

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