Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 31

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday


	Warta Sieradz		Wisła Płock II

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.35	5.3
	1.45	4.35	5.4
	1.48	4.26	5.54	Watch
	1.44	3.8	5.5
	1.45	4.1	5.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.7)	4.17 ↑ (3.8)	5.54 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Sieradz
62.1%

Draw
21.6%

Wisła Płock II
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

24.1%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

23.3%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Sieradz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Warta Sieradz's performance.

Wisła Płock II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wisła Płock II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Sieradz than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Warta Sieradz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock II than the current prediction. (+5%)

Warta Sieradz - Wisła Płock II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Sojka A. ⚽,
31', Slesicki D. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 1 - 1, Lodzinski F. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6).

Recent performances by Warta Sieradz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wisła Płock II is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Warta Sieradz is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Warta Sieradz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Warta Sieradz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Plock II	11	5	3	3	22:18	4	18
9	Warta Sieradz	10	4	3	3	18:16	2	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Sieradz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
09.05.26	Wasilków - Warta Sieradz	0:3 ✺
30.04.26	Warta Sieradz - Jagiellonia II Białystok	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Znicz Biała Piska - Warta Sieradz	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	GKS Bełchatów - Warta Sieradz	3:3 ✺
10.04.26	Warta Sieradz - Troszyn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTWTL
- Wisła Płock II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
09.05.26	Wisła Płock II - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
30.04.26	Wisła Płock II - Widzew Łódź II	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Wasilków - Wisła Płock II	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Wisła Płock II - Wikielec	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Legia II - Wisła Płock II	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.10.25	Wisła Płock II - Warta Sieradz	2:1
30.03.25	Wisła Płock II - Warta Sieradz	3:0
31.08.24	Warta Sieradz - Wisła Płock II	1:1

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