Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 13

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Warta Sieradz		Wisła Płock II

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.50	2.95
	2.18	3.40	2.70
	1.97	3.54	3.11
	2	3.71	3.09	Watch
	1.91	3.40	3.00
	2.06	3.70	3.09	Watch
	1.95	3.65	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.18)	3.56 ↑ (3.4)	3.04 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Sieradz
44.9%

Draw
25.4%

Wisła Płock II
29.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.8%

26.2%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

25%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Sieradz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Wisła Płock II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Sieradz than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock II than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Warta Sieradz - Wisła Płock II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, (Own goal),
36', 1 - 1, Bieronski B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 2 - 1, Lis M. (Penalty Awarded),
90', Bakhno M. 🟥,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th and 5th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Wisła Płock II may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Warta Sieradz has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Warta Sieradz is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Warta Sieradz has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:7 (averaging 0.8:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Warta Sieradz against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Warta Sieradz	14	6	4	4	24:22	2	22
8	Plock II	14	6	4	4	27:23	4	22

Last Results with these Odds

Wisła Płock II - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 32.97%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Sieradz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
09.10.26	Warta Sieradz - Wigry Suwałki	1:3 ✺
03.10.26	Warta Sieradz - Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Warta Sieradz - Olimpia Zambrów	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Warta Sieradz	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Warta Sieradz - Olimpia Elbląg	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTTWW
- Wisła Płock II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.10.26	Wisła Płock II - Troszyn	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Wigry Suwałki - Wisła Płock II	1:0 ✺
25.09.26	Wisła Płock II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Wisła Płock II	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Wisła Płock II - ŁKS Łódź II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.26	Warta Sieradz - Wisła Płock II	1:1
25.10.25	Wisła Płock II - Warta Sieradz	2:1
30.03.25	Wisła Płock II - Warta Sieradz	3:0
31.08.24	Warta Sieradz - Wisła Płock II	1:1

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