The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Washington Spirit 44.3%
Draw 26.6%
Angel City 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
26.7%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
27.3%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Angel City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Spirit than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Angel City than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Washington Spirit - Angel City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Sandy MacIver (G) 13. Di Guglielmo L. 9. Rudd T. 24. Morgan E. 14. Carle G. 12. Sullivan A. (C) 17. Hershfelt H. 8. Ngock M. 19. Kouassi R. 27. Cantore S. 2. Rodman T.
19. Anderson A. (G) 3. KIng S. 6. Sams E. 11. Gorden S. (C) 15. Shores E. 20. Thompson G. 8. Ary Borges 16. Lageyre C. 17. Sentnor A. 24. Chilufya P. 32. Jonsdottir S.
Substitutes
7. Bethi M. 33. Hatch A. 25. Luvanga C. 11. Martinez Ovando C. 26. Metayer P. 21. Monday G. 16. Tamara Bolt 5. Tse E. 28. Wojdelko S. (G)
4. Cherry K. 10. Emslie C. 40. Immethun J. 12. Maiara Niehues 14. Martin N. 25. Mattice S. 13. Seabert H. G. (G) 99. Suarez T. 33. Tiernan R.
Coaches
Gonzalez A.
Smerud L. G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', KIng S. 🟨,
45+1', Shores E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Ngock M. ↓, Bethi M. ↑,
66', Kouassi R. ↓, Luvanga C. ↑,
71', Chilufya P. ↓, Suarez T. ↑,
74', Sentnor A. 🟨,
77', Cantore S. ↓, Tamara Bolt ↑,
77', Di Guglielmo L. ↓, Metayer P. ↑,
86', Sentnor A. ↓, Maiara Niehues ↑,
89', 0 - 1, Maiara Niehues ⚽, Lageyre C. (A),
90', Sullivan A. ↓, Hatch A. ↑,
90+3', Jonsdottir S. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ NWSL Women PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 7th in the Promotion ~ NWSL Women PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington Spirit won 2.
Washington Spirit has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Angel City is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Washington Spirit has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:14 (averaging 1.8:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Washington Spirit against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:8 goals (averaging 2.3:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Washington Spirit W
27
15
4
8
39:26
13
49
6
Angel City W
27
12
7
8
45:29
16
43
Last Results with these Odds
Angel City - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 31.16%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.