The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portland Thorns 38%
Draw 25.8%
Washington Spirit 36.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.4%
25.4%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
23.7%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Thorns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Washington Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Spirit than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Portland Thorns - Washington Spirit Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Arnold M. (G) 4. Calzada C. 16. Hiatt S. (C) 24. Perry J. 25. Vignola M. 21. Fleming J. 20. Nijstad N. 22. Weaver M. 19. Tordin P. 66. Turner R. 9. Wilson S.
18. Sandy MacIver (G) 26. Metayer P. 9. Rudd T. 24. Morgan E. 14. Carle G. 7. Bethi M. 17. Hershfelt H. 8. Ngock M. 19. Kouassi R. 27. Cantore S. 2. Rodman T.
Substitutes
6. Bogere C. 7. Hanks C. 15. Harvey S. 41. Lyles R. 29. Mckenzie M. 35. Messner M. (G) 23. Muller M. 11. Padelski M. 2. Reyes R.
31. Collins K. (G) 13. Di Guglielmo L. 29. Gaines-Ramos E. 35. Haugen M. 21. Monday G. 12. Sullivan A. 16. Tamara Bolt 5. Tse E. 28. Wojdelko S. (G)
Coaches
Vilahamn R.
Gonzalez A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Wilson S. (Penalty Awarded),
26', Ngock M. 🟨,
32', Rudd T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Weaver M. ↓, Hanks C. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Rudd T. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Turner R. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
73', Ngock M. ↓, Sullivan A. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Bethi M. ⚽, Rodman T. (A),
84', Vignola M. ↓, Reyes R. ↑,
84', Calzada C. ↓, Padelski M. ↑,
87', Cantore S. ↓, Monday G. ↑,
88', Kouassi R. ↓, Haugen M. ↑,
90+2', Sullivan A. 🟨,
90+3', Perry J. 🟨,
90+7', Sullivan A. 🟨,
90+8', Bethi M. ↓, Tse E. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland Thorns won 2.
Portland Thorns is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Washington Spirit has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Washington Spirit may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Washington Spirit has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland Thorns won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Portland Thorns won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 1.8:0.7).