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Current Win Probability
Washington Spirit 60%
Draw 22.2%
Bay FC 17.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.5%
21.3%
17.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.1%
20.8%
16.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Bay FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Spirit than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bay FC than the current prediction. (-1%)
Washington Spirit - Bay FC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Sandy MacIver (G) 14. Carle G. 9. Rudd T. 24. Morgan E. 6. Wiesner K. 17. Hershfelt H. 12. Sullivan A. (C) 33. Hatch A. 26. Metayer P. 27. Cantore S. 2. Rodman T.
29. Silkowitz J. (G) 16. Collins S. (C) 2. Gilchrist H. 18. Anderson J. 31. Nighswonger J. 8. Hutton C. 47. Fuller K. 41. Bebar H. 7. Huff T. 5. Lema K. 17. Pfeiffer A.
Substitutes
7. Bethi M. 31. Collins K. (G) 29. Gaines-Ramos E. 35. Haugen M. 21. Monday G. 8. Ngock M. 16. Tamara Bolt 5. Tse E. 28. Wojdelko S. (G)
27. Barry K. 21. Cometti A. 23. Conti C. 10. Girelli C. 30. Holzheier A. 11. Hubly K. 9. Kundananji R. 1. Miller C. (G) 24. Moreau M.
Coaches
Gonzalez A.
Coates E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
35', Metayer P. 🟨,
45', Hatch A. ↓, Bethi M. ↑,
45+4', 1 - 0, Metayer P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Wiesner K. ↓, Tamara Bolt ↑,
60', Lema K. ↓, Girelli C. ↑,
60', Fuller K. ↓, Holzheier A. ↑,
68', Cantore S. ↓, Monday G. ↑,
69', Sullivan A. ↓, Ngock M. ↑,
69', Huff T. ↓, Barry K. ↑,
69', Pfeiffer A. ↓, Kundananji R. ↑,
77', Gilchrist H. ↓, Moreau M. ↑,
79', Carle G. 🟨,
88', Moreau M. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington Spirit won 5.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Washington Spirit is considered a favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Washington Spirit won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 2.3:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Washington Spirit won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).