Match Info

Date: 22 April 2022, Friday


	Wasserburg		Ingolstadt II

	1	X	2
	5.5	5	1.37
	5.6	4.2	1.38
	5.4	4.5	1.38
	5.87	5.28	1.42
	5.5	5	1.36
	5.65	5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.59 ↑ (3.8)	4.83 ↑ (3.6)	1.38 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wasserburg
16.1%

Draw
18.7%

Ingolstadt II
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

24.4%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

23%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wasserburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wasserburg's form might have worsened.

Ingolstadt II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ingolstadt II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wasserburg than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wasserburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt II than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ingolstadt II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wasserburg - Ingolstadt II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Bayern (Promotion)).

Wasserburg is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ingolstadt II is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ingolstadt II is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Wasserburg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Wasserburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV 1880 Wasserburg
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
16.04.22	Ismaning - Wasserburg	3:1 ✺
08.04.22	Wasserburg - Schwaben Augsburg	0:1 ✺
02.04.22	Jahn Regensburg II - Wasserburg	3:0 ✺
29.03.22	Gundelfingen - Wasserburg	2:1 ✺
25.03.22	Wasserburg - Kirchanschöring	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW
- Ingolstadt II
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
16.04.22	Ingolstadt II - Türkspor Augsburg	4:0 ✺
09.04.22	Donaustauf - Ingolstadt II	1:5 ✺
02.04.22	Ingolstadt II - Schwabmunchen	6:1 ✺
29.03.22	Kirchanschöring - Ingolstadt II	0:0 ✺
26.03.22	Deisenhofen - Ingolstadt II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Süd
25.09.21	Ingolstadt II - Wasserburg	2:2
11.10.19	Wasserburg - Ingolstadt II	5:1

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