Match Info

National League Women - Round 20

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	LOI TV


	Waterford		Shelbourne

	1	X	2
	10.50	6.75	1.16
	10.50	6.80	1.13
	10.34	6.93	1.15
	11	7	1.16	Watch
	10.00	6.85	1.13
	12.50	7.30	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.81 ↑ (6.62)	6.94 ↑ (4.5)	1.15 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waterford
8.4%

Draw
13%

Shelbourne
78.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

19.6%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8%

18.8%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waterford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shelbourne's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterford than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shelbourne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Waterford - Shelbourne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 4)
66', 0 - 1, Watkins R. ⚽,
76', 0 - 2, Flocchini I. ⚽,
78', 0 - 3, Pierce M. ⚽,
81', 0 - 4, Damico O. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 10th and 2nd).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Shelbourne may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Shelbourne has had a run of games away from home.

In this match, Shelbourne enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Waterford has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:9 (averaging 0.3:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Waterford against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:4 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Shelbourne W	20	12	5	3	40:19	21	41
10	Waterford W	20	3	6	11	17:40	-23	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waterford FC Women
Irish National League Women
19.09.26	Cork City - Waterford	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Waterford - DLR Waves	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Athlone Town - Waterford	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Sligo Rovers - Waterford	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Waterford - Galway United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLLWL
- Shelbourne Ladies
Irish FAI Cup Women
27.09.26	Athlone Town - Shelbourne	1:3 ✺
Irish National League Women
19.09.26	Shelbourne - Shamrock Rovers	2:4 ✺
12.09.26	Sligo Rovers - Shelbourne	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	DLR Waves - Shelbourne	1:3 ✺
Irish FAI Cup Women
22.08.26	Cork City - Shelbourne	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Irish National League Women
11.07.26	Shelbourne - Waterford	3:0
10.08.25	Shelbourne - Waterford	2:1
15.03.25	Waterford - Shelbourne	0:4

Waterford - Shelbourne: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide