Match Info

National League Women - Round 21

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
International	14:00	LOI TV


	Waterford		Treaty United

	1	X	2
	6.75	4.33	1.36
	6.1	4.25	1.38
	5.67	4.25	1.4
	5.9	4.41	1.43	Watch
	5.55	4.1	1.37
	6.69	4.45	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.11 ↑ (6)	4.3 ↓ (4.34)	1.38 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waterford
14.6%

Draw
20.8%

Treaty United
64.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.3%

21.1%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

20.3%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waterford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Treaty United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterford than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Waterford - Treaty United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
59', 1 - 0, Gornell A. ⚽,
81', 1 - 1, Lawlee K. (Penalty Awarded),
86', 1 - 2, Mulvihill H. ⚽,
89', 1 - 3, Penner C. ⚽,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 10th and 7th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this match, Treaty United enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Waterford has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Waterford against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Treaty Utd W	22	10	6	6	31:21	10	36
10	Waterford W	22	3	6	13	18:47	-29	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waterford FC Women
Irish National League Women
03.10.26	Waterford - Shelbourne	0:4 ✺
19.09.26	Cork City - Waterford	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Waterford - DLR Waves	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Athlone Town - Waterford	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Sligo Rovers - Waterford	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWLLW
- Treaty United WFC
Irish National League Women
03.10.26	Sligo Rovers - Treaty United	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Treaty United - Peamount United	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Treaty United - Athlone Town	1:4 ✺
05.09.26	Galway United - Treaty United	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Treaty United - Bohemians Dublin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Irish National League Women
21.03.26	Treaty United - Waterford	3:0
11.10.25	Waterford - Treaty United	3:2
All-Island Cup Women
26.04.25	Treaty United - Waterford	0:0

Waterford - Treaty United