Match Info

Premier League - Round 34

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Waterhouse Mini Stadium (Kingston)


	Waterhouse		Tivoli Gardens

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.45	4.65	Watch
	1.71	3.45	4.68
	1.71	3.66	4.73	Watch
	1.65	3.4	4.4
	1.72	3.85	4.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.79)	3.56 ↓ (3.59)	4.57 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waterhouse
54.2%

Draw
25.7%

Tivoli Gardens
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.6%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waterhouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Tivoli Gardens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterhouse than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Waterhouse - Tivoli Gardens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterhouse won 1.

Waterhouse is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Tivoli Gardens has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Waterhouse is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waterhouse won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Waterhouse won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Waterhouse	3	3	0	0	13:0	13	9
4	Tivoli	4	2	2	0	7:2	5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waterhouse FC
Jamaica National Premier League
12.04.26	Racing United - Waterhouse	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Waterhouse - Arnett Gardens	1:1 ✺
30.03.26	Waterhouse - Spanish Town Police	5:1 ✺
26.03.26	Portmore United - Waterhouse	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Waterhouse - Cavalier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWLW
- Tivoli Gardens FC
Jamaica National Premier League
12.04.26	Mount Pleasant - Tivoli Gardens	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Tivoli Gardens - Harbour View	3:2 ✺
25.03.26	Tivoli Gardens - Chapelton Maroons	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Racing United - Tivoli Gardens	0:0 ✺
19.03.26	Tivoli Gardens - Arnett Gardens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
15.02.26	Waterhouse - Tivoli Gardens	1:1
08.12.25	Tivoli Gardens - Waterhouse	2:1
16.03.25	Tivoli Gardens - Waterhouse	3:2
12.01.25	Waterhouse - Tivoli Gardens	0:1
06.10.24	Tivoli Gardens - Waterhouse	0:1
29.04.24	Tivoli Gardens - Waterhouse	0:2
22.04.24	Waterhouse - Tivoli Gardens	1:1

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