Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Edward Seaga Sports Complex (Kingston)


	Tivoli Gardens		Waterhouse

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.98	2.72	Watch
	2.44	3.1	2.87
	2.51	2.98	2.83	Watch
	2.45	2.88	2.75
	2.49	2.94	2.69	Watch
	2.54	2.85	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.68)	2.96 ↓ (3.22)	2.76 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tivoli Gardens
36.5%

Draw
30.7%

Waterhouse
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

28.4%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

29.5%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tivoli Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Waterhouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterhouse than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Waterhouse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Tivoli Gardens - Waterhouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tivoli Gardens will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Waterhouse will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Fuller N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 1 - 1, Mitchell R. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Fuller N. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tivoli Gardens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tivoli Gardens won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tivoli Gardens FC
Jamaica National Premier League
20.10.25	Arnett Gardens - Tivoli Gardens	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Tivoli Gardens - Harbour View	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Tivoli Gardens - Cavalier	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Racing United - Tivoli Gardens	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Tivoli Gardens - Molynes United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLTT
- Waterhouse FC
Jamaica National Premier League
19.10.25	Waterhouse - Dunbeholden	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Treasure Beach - Waterhouse	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Waterhouse - Mount Pleasant	1:1 ✺
29.09.25	Waterhouse - Chapelton Maroons	3:0 ✺
22.09.25	Arnett Gardens - Waterhouse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
16.03.25	Tivoli Gardens - Waterhouse	3:2
12.01.25	Waterhouse - Tivoli Gardens	0:1
06.10.24	Tivoli Gardens - Waterhouse	0:1
29.04.24	Tivoli Gardens - Waterhouse	0:2
22.04.24	Waterhouse - Tivoli Gardens	1:1
17.01.24	Waterhouse - Tivoli Gardens	0:1
22.10.23	Tivoli Gardens - Waterhouse	3:0

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