Match Info

Premier League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Waterhouse Mini Stadium (Kingston)


	Waterhouse		Cavalier

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.15	3.7	Watch
	1.84	3.28	4.09
	1.87	3.51	3.99	Watch
	1.95	3	3.6
	1.85	3.25	3.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.12)	3.24 ↑ (3.1)	3.87 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waterhouse
48.4%

Draw
28.1%

Cavalier
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

29.2%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

30.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waterhouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Waterhouse's performance.

Cavalier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterhouse than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavalier than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Waterhouse - Cavalier Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Allen D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 0 - 2, Ainsworth C. ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 2-2.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterhouse won 2.

Recent performances by Waterhouse have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cavalier is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Waterhouse might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waterhouse won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Waterhouse won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.9:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Waterhouse	3	3	0	0	13:0	13	9
6	Cavalier	3	2	1	0	6:4	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waterhouse FC
Jamaica National Premier League
10.05.26	Cavalier - Waterhouse	2:2 ✺
06.05.26	Waterhouse - Dunbeholden	4:0 ✺
03.05.26	Waterhouse - Chapelton Maroons	3:0 ✺
27.04.26	Mount Pleasant - Waterhouse	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Waterhouse - Treasure Beach	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWLL
- Cavalier FC
Jamaica National Premier League
10.05.26	Cavalier - Waterhouse	2:2 ✺
06.05.26	Cavalier - Harbour View	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Tivoli Gardens - Cavalier	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Cavalier - Racing United	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Arnett Gardens - Cavalier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
10.05.26	Cavalier - Waterhouse	2:2
22.03.26	Waterhouse - Cavalier	2:1
11.01.26	Waterhouse - Cavalier	0:0
08.09.25	Cavalier - Waterhouse	0:1
09.03.25	Waterhouse - Cavalier	1:1
06.01.25	Cavalier - Waterhouse	2:2
29.09.24	Waterhouse - Cavalier	0:2

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