Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 29

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: BRITA-Arena (Wiesbaden)

Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Arena 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Wehen Wiesbaden		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.75	3.7	1.93
	3.6	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.81	3.81	1.99
	3.81	3.81	1.96
	3.6	3.7	1.91
	3.77	3.8	1.92	Watch
	3.65	3.65	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.67)	3.71 ↓ (3.71)	1.95 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wehen Wiesbaden
25.5%

Draw
25.6%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

25.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

25.2%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wehen Wiesbaden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Wehen Wiesbaden aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	7.1%	85.7%

Wehen Wiesbaden - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: Fortuna Düsseldorf will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Stritzel F. (G) 2. Angha M. 24. Mathisen M. 26. Vukotic A. 4. Mockenhaupt S. (C) 7. Heusser R. 29. Gunther L. 20. Lee H. 8. Batzner N. 18. Prtajin I. 14. Kovacevic F.	33. Kastenmeier F. (C) 25. Zimmermann M. 15. Oberdorf T. 20. Siebert J. 19. Iyoha E. 11. Klaus F. 23. Appelkamp S. 6. Engelhardt Y. 8. Johannesson I. 7. Tzolis C. 9. Vermeij V.
Substitutes
25. Agrafiotis N. 11. Bennetts K. 17. Carstens F. 34. Catic A. 6. Fechner G. 30. Froese K. 33. Iredale J. 21. Kade J. 1. Lyska A. (G)	22. Daferner C. 30. de Wijs J. 34. Gavory N. 27. Jastrzembski D. 36. Mustapha S. 1. Niemczycki K. (G) 18. Niemiec J. 5. Quarshie J. 31. Sobottka M.
Coaches
Kauczinski M.	Thioune D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Appelkamp S. ⚽, Zimmermann M. (A),
15', Zimmermann M. 🟨,
26', Tzolis C. 🟨,
35', Lee H. 🟥,
37', Kauczinski M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Batzner N. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
46', Kovacevic F. ↓, Iredale J. ↑,
64', 0 - 2, Johannesson I. ⚽, Appelkamp S. (A),
65', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
65', Johannesson I. ↓, Sobottka M. ↑,
66', Vukotic A. 🟨,
70', Prtajin I. 🟨,
71', Gunther L. ↓, Catic A. ↑,
71', Vukotic A. ↓, Carstens F. ↑,
82', Zimmermann M. ↓, Gavory N. ↑,
82', Klaus F. ↓, Jastrzembski D. ↑,
82', Prtajin I. ↓, Agrafiotis N. ↑,
90+1', Siebert J. ↓, de Wijs J. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Relegation: )).

Wehen is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fortuna is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wehen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fortuna is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Wehen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wehen Wiesbaden
German 2 Bundesliga
05.04.24	Hansa Rostock - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:1 ✺
31.03.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Osnabrück	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Hamburger SV - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:0 ✺
09.03.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Hannover	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Elversberg - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLLTW
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
07.04.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.04.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Fortuna Düsseldorf	4:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
30.03.24	Kaiserslautern - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:3 ✺
15.03.24	Osnabrück - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:4 ✺
08.03.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hamburger SV	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
03.11.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:3
Club Friendly
18.08.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Wehen Wiesbaden	Canceled

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