Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 36

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Welling United		Whitehawk

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	2.6
	2.32	3.35	2.62
	2.39	3.41	2.68
	2.33	3.64	2.62	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.63
	2.33	3.32	2.62
	2.3	3.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.4)	3.37 ↓ (3.62)	2.64 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
38.9%

Draw
26.8%

Whitehawk
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

25.4%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

24.8%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Whitehawk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitehawk than the current prediction. (+1%)

Welling United - Whitehawk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Majoyegbe L. ⚽,
26', Skandari T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Lodovica H. ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, Stewart N. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Welling won 2.

Welling has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Whitehawk has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Welling may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Welling won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Welling won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Welling: 14.94% Whitehawk: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Welling	10	8	0	2	20:9	11	24
21	Whitehawk	10	1	2	7	10:22	-12	5

Last Results with these Odds

Welling United - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.35%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.03.26	Potters Bar Town - Welling United	2:4 ✺
07.03.26	Burgess Hill Town - Welling United	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Welling United	1:4 ✺
28.02.26	Welling United - Dartford	0:1 ✺
24.02.26	Welling United - Carshalton Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWLW
- Whitehawk
English Isthmian League Premier Division
17.03.26	Whitehawk - Cheshunt	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Whitehawk - Cray Wanderers	0:3 ✺
10.03.26	Dulwich Hamlet - Whitehawk	4:3 ✺
07.03.26	Aveley - Whitehawk	4:2 ✺
03.03.26	Chatham Town - Whitehawk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.12.25	Whitehawk - Welling United	1:2
English National League South
14.04.18	Whitehawk - Welling United	2:1
12.09.17	Welling United - Whitehawk	1:0
04.03.17	Whitehawk - Welling United	1:0
22.10.16	Welling United - Whitehawk	1:2
English FA Cup
15.10.16	Welling United - Whitehawk	0:1

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