Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 4

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Canada	23:00	DAZN Canada
New Zealand	16:00	DAZN New Zealand
Usa	23:00	DAZN USA


	Birkenhead United		Napier City Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.90	3.50
	1.68	3.70	3.45	Watch
	1.76	4.22	3.67
	1.75	4.42	3.67	Watch
	1.74	4.15	3.60
	1.82	4.37	3.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.77)	4.13 ↓ (4.5)	3.55 (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birkenhead United
52.2%

Draw
22.1%

Napier City Rovers
25.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.9%

20.8%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birkenhead United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Napier City Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Birkenhead United - Napier City Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, ⚽,
87', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Napier City may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Birkenhead for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Birkenhead has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:4 (averaging 2.3:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Birkenhead against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birkenhead United
New Zealand National League
09.10.26	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Birkenhead United	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Birkenhead United - Cashmere Technical	0:4 ✺
06.12.25	Birkenhead United - Western Springs	3:1 ✺
28.11.25	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Birkenhead United	2:3 ✺
22.11.25	Birkenhead United - Miramar Rangers	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWL
- Napier City Rovers
New Zealand National League
10.10.26	Napier City Rovers - Cashmere Technical	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Auckland United - Napier City Rovers	7:1 ✺
26.09.26	Napier City Rovers - Miramar Rangers	1:1 ✺
New Zealand Chatham Cup
15.08.26	Cashmere Technical - Napier City Rovers	2:1 ✺
03.07.26	Petone - Napier City Rovers	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand National League
18.10.24	Birkenhead United - Napier City Rovers	4:2
New Zealand Chatham Cup
27.07.24	Napier City Rovers - Birkenhead United	1:2
New Zealand National League
12.11.22	Napier City Rovers - Birkenhead United	1:1

Birkenhead United - Napier City Rovers