Match Info

NEW ZEALAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - CHAMPIONSHIP GROUP - ROUND 8

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Kiwitea Street (Auckland)


	Auckland City		Miramar Rangers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.23	6	7.75
	1.25	5.3	6.1
	1.24	6	7.2
	1.26	6.91	8.8
	1.21	6.5	8.8
	1.26	6.4	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.59)	6.19 ↑ (4.74)	7.74 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auckland City
73.5%

Draw
14.7%

Miramar Rangers
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

19.2%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

18.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auckland City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auckland City's performance.

Miramar Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miramar Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland City than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auckland City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Rangers than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miramar Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Auckland City - Miramar Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Auckland City will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Miramar will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Grand Final) and 10).

Auckland City is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Miramar is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Miramar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Auckland City is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auckland City FC
New Zealand National League
11.11.22	Christchurch United - Auckland City	2:3 ✺
04.11.22	Auckland City - Wellington Phoenix 2	2:0 ✺
28.10.22	Auckland United - Auckland City	3:2 ✺
22.10.22	Auckland City - Napier City Rovers	3:0 ✺
14.10.22	Birkenhead United - Auckland City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWT
- Miramar Rangers
New Zealand National League
11.11.22	Miramar Rangers - Melville United	2:3 ✺
05.11.22	Miramar Rangers - Christchurch United	0:3 ✺
28.10.22	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Miramar Rangers	2:3 ✺
22.10.22	Miramar Rangers - Auckland United	0:1 ✺
14.10.22	Napier City Rovers - Miramar Rangers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLT

Auckland City - Miramar Rangers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide