Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 21

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Wuyuan Sports Center (Wuyuan)


	Wenzhou Professional		Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.3	4.8
				Watch
	1.66	3.36	5.37	Watch
	1.62	3.25	5
	1.58	3.55	5.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (4.22)	3.37 ↑ (3.3)	5.17 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wenzhou Professional
55.7%

Draw
26.8%

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

27.7%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

25.6%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wenzhou Professional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+34.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wenzhou Professional's performance.

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-33.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shanxi Chongde Ronghai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wenzhou Professional than the current prediction. (-32.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wenzhou Professional that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai than the current prediction. (+29.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanxi Chongde Ronghai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	6.7%	0%

Wenzhou Professional - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Wenzhou will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wenzhou: 80.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Jappar Mewlan (G) 3. Liu Ruicheng 4. Zhao W. 25. Gao J. 17. Zhao S. 19. Geng Taili 18. Lu Jiabin 33. Wang Jiaqi 15. Ruan Sai 42. Tian Jiarui 41. Long Tingwei	20. Rong Shang (G) 4. Wenjie Y. 19. Wu Peng 18. Yang Peng 6. Zhang Wei 33. Xu Zhaoji 60. Li Xiaotian 37. Su Shun 30. Du Jinlong 22. Li Jinqing 8. Zhang H.
Substitutes
47. Gao Jingchun 11. Lyu S. 29. Pang Jiajun (G) 36. Wang Jinze 30. Wang Lingke 2. Wang Tianqing 56. Zhang Zhijie 22. Zhan Shuanglei	39. Gong Zheng 15. Huang Zhiyuan 49. Lin Min 23. Liu Xiangchen 10. Lu Yao 51. Shen Q. 1. Yang Ming (G) 50. Yang Z. (G) 2. Ye Q. 32. Zhang L.
Coaches
Niu X.	Yu M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Wenjie Y. 🟨,
30', Li Jinqing 🟨,
45', Zhao S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zhang Wei ↓, Ye Q. ↑,
46', Xu Zhaoji ↓, Zhang L. ↑,
55', Zhang H. ↓, Gong Zheng ↑,
55', Wenjie Y. ↓, Shen Q. ↑,
62', Zhao W. ↓, Wang Tianqing ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Gong Zheng ⚽,
64', Gong Zheng 🟨,
72', Zhao S. ↓, Lyu S. ↑,
74', Su Shun ↓, Liu Xiangchen ↑,
85', Long Tingwei ↓, Wang Lingke ↑,
85', Tian Jiarui ↓, Zhang Zhijie ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wenzhou Professional
Chinese Yi League
25.08.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Wenzhou Professional	1:1 ✺
18.08.24	Wenzhou Professional - Beijing Institute of Technology	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Wenzhou Professional	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Wenzhou Professional - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:1 ✺
14.07.24	Wenzhou Professional - Guangxi Lanhang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLLW
- Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Chinese Yi League
25.08.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	2:2 ✺
16.08.24	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Kunming City	0:1 ✺
28.07.24	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Taian Tiankuang	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	4:1 ✺
14.07.24	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Shandong Taishan B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TLWLL

Wenzhou Professional - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide