Match Info

Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 28

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Taiyuan University Football Stadium - Artificial grass (Taiyuan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai		Kunming City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.1
				Watch
	2.22	2.91	3.3
	2.2	3.16	3.05
	2.21	2.9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.93)	2.97 ↓ (3.38)	3.14 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
40.9%

Draw
30.4%

Kunming City
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26.9%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

26.8%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanxi Chongde Ronghai's form might have worsened.

Kunming City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kunming City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Kunming City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rong Shang (C) 3. Zheng Yiming 30. Zhang Song 19. Jin Jian 23. Zhang Ao 5. Wu Peng 22. Yu Xueyi 18. Xiaohan L. 47. Ablimit Feruk 31. Tan Tiancheng 17. Ilhamjan Iminjan	1. Hao Kesen (G) 13. Yao Zhiyu 2. Ou L. 5. Tang Daozheng 26. Bi Haoyang 24. Song X. 6. Ablimit Subi (C) 14. Tian Li 3. Wang S. 50. Hou Yingcheng 17. Qi Long
Substitutes
21. Bai Shuo (G) 55. Gao Rongze (G) 9. Gong Zheng 15. Huang Zhiyuan 51. Hu Binrong 10. Li Diantong 7. Li Jinqing 33. Liu Tianyang 36. Yan Tianyi 46. Yao Younan 58. Zhang Hanwen 6. Zhang Wei	23. Chen Anqi (G) 47. Gong Z. 7. Li G. 42. Sun Z. 21. Wang Jiaqi 27. Yang H. 52. Zhang R.
Coaches
Wang J.	Zhu Jiong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Yao Zhiyu 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Tan Tiancheng ⚽, Zhang Ao (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Wang S. ↓, Yang H. ↑,
46', Hou Yingcheng ↓, Sun Z. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Sun Z. ⚽, Tian Li (A),
52', 2 - 1, Yu Xueyi ⚽, Xiaohan L. (A),
55', Wu Peng 🟨,
60', Wu Peng ↓, Gong Zheng ↑,
60', Ablimit Feruk ↓, Yao Younan ↑,
62', Xiaohan L. 🟨,
66', Tan Tiancheng ↓, Yan Tianyi ↑,
66', Ilhamjan Iminjan ↓, Li Diantong ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Ou L. ⚽, Song X. (A),
81', Yu Xueyi ↓, Li Jinqing ↑,
90', Sun Z. 🟨,
90+1', Song X. ↓, Gong Z. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Shanxi might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shanxi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Shanxi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Chinese Yi League
29.09.25	Ganzhou Ruishi - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Guangxi Lanhang - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Wuhan Three Towns B	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Kunming City - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Ganzhou Ruishi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLTW
- Kunming City FC
Chinese Yi League
27.09.25	Kunming City - Jiangxi Lushan	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Beijing Institute of Technology - Kunming City	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	Kunming City - Taian Tiankuang	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Kunming City - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	Jiangxi Lushan - Kunming City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
31.08.25	Kunming City - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0:0
22.09.24	Kunming City - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	2:1
16.08.24	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Kunming City	0:1

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Kunming City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide