Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 20

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Werder Bremen II		Teutonia Ottensen

	1	X	2
	1.35	5.25	5.25
	1.39	5.6	5.6
	1.37	5.4	6.09
	1.38	5.16	5.96
	1.44	4.8	5
	1.37	5.05	5.83
	1.39	5.6	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.7)	5.27 ↑ (4.15)	5.62 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen II
66.3%

Draw
17.4%

Teutonia Ottensen
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

22.2%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

19.1%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Werder Bremen II's performance.

Teutonia Ottensen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Teutonia Ottensen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen II than the current prediction. (-19.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Werder Bremen II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teutonia Ottensen than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Teutonia Ottensen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Werder Bremen II - Teutonia Ottensen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Lukowicz M. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Ehlers J. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Akyol D. ⚽,
44', 2 - 2, Akyol D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 2 - 3, Stark C. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 14).

Werder Bremen II is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Teutonia Ottensen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Teutonia Ottensen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Werder Bremen II is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Werder Bremen II won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 2.2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Werder Bremen II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen II
German Regionalliga North
17.11.24	Eintracht Norderstedt - Werder Bremen II	3:2 ✺
08.11.24	Werder Bremen II - TSV Havelse	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Werder Bremen II - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Jeddeloh - Werder Bremen II	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Werder Bremen II - Bremer SV	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLW
- Teutonia Ottensen
German Regionalliga North
20.11.24	Teutonia Ottensen - St. Pauli II	1:4 ✺
17.11.24	Teutonia Ottensen - Oldenburg	1:4 ✺
08.11.24	Blau-Weiß Lohne - Teutonia Ottensen	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Teutonia Ottensen - Phönix Lübeck	1:9 ✺
19.10.24	Meppen - Teutonia Ottensen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
11.08.24	Teutonia Ottensen - Werder Bremen II	1:3
18.02.23	Werder Bremen II - Teutonia Ottensen	1:3
27.08.22	Teutonia Ottensen - Werder Bremen II	2:1
23.04.22	Werder Bremen II - Teutonia Ottensen	3:0
13.03.22	Teutonia Ottensen - Werder Bremen II	3:3

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