Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 5

Date: 20 November 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Teutonia Ottensen		St. Pauli II

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.3
	2.8	3.35	2.37
	2.68	3.33	2.37
	2.59	3.43	2.44	Watch
	2.6	3.6	2.25
	2.65	3.34	2.31
	2.8	3.35	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.25)	3.37 ↓ (3.6)	2.34 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teutonia Ottensen
34%

Draw
27.1%

St. Pauli II
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

25.1%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

23.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teutonia Ottensen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Teutonia Ottensen's form might have worsened.

St. Pauli II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teutonia Ottensen than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Teutonia Ottensen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli II than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Pauli II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Teutonia Ottensen - St. Pauli II Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Teutonia Ottensen will win (votes: 2 - 40%). St. Pauli II will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, ⚽,
33', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 3, Siegfried S. ⚽,
66', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Regionalliga North (Relegation) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Teutonia Ottensen won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

Teutonia Ottensen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Teutonia Ottensen won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Teutonia Ottensen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Teutonia Ottensen
German Regionalliga North
17.11.24	Teutonia Ottensen - Oldenburg	1:4 ✺
08.11.24	Blau-Weiß Lohne - Teutonia Ottensen	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Teutonia Ottensen - Phönix Lübeck	1:9 ✺
19.10.24	Meppen - Teutonia Ottensen	4:0 ✺
13.10.24	Eintracht Norderstedt - Teutonia Ottensen	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTLLW
- St. Pauli II
German Regionalliga North
10.11.24	St. Pauli II - Jeddeloh	2:2 ✺
03.11.24	St. Pauli II - Bremer SV	1:1 ✺
29.10.24	St. Pauli II - Lübeck	1:3 ✺
25.10.24	Drochtersen Assel - St. Pauli II	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	St. Pauli II - SC Weiche-08	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
14.04.24	Teutonia Ottensen - St. Pauli II	3:3
22.11.23	St. Pauli II - Teutonia Ottensen	1:1
26.02.23	Teutonia Ottensen - St. Pauli II	0:1
07.09.22	St. Pauli II - Teutonia Ottensen	2:0
07.11.21	Teutonia Ottensen - St. Pauli II	4:0
29.08.21	St. Pauli II - Teutonia Ottensen	1:3
11.10.20	Teutonia Ottensen - St. Pauli II	0:3

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