Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: The Stadium at Memorial Field (Mount Vernon, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Westchester SC		Hartford Athletic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.4	2.25
	2.99	3.87	2.04
	2.94	3.87	2.05	Watch
	3.24	3.44	2.08	Watch
	3.4	3.3	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.54)	3.58 ↑ (3.25)	2.07 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Westchester SC
30.3%

Draw
25.6%

Hartford Athletic
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

28.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

27.1%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Westchester SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Hartford Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Westchester SC than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Westchester SC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Westchester SC - Hartford Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hammersley A. (G) 12. Tetteh R. 6. McGlynn C. 92. Lawrence K. 22. Payne S. 10. Guezen D. 5. Johnson J. 19. Drack J. 8. Bouman D. 29. Obregon J. 3. Saydee P.	77. Siaha A. (G) 22. Presthus T. 15. Farrell J. 4. Scarlett J. (C) 2. Anderson S. 81. Obalola A. 6. Makangila B. 19. Samadia E. 10. Careaga S. 9. Dieng M. 71. Edwards K.
Substitutes
9. Blommestijn K. 17. Bolanos J. 1. Jacomen D. (G) 35. Jean-Baptiste A. 18. Mackic E. 7. Powder S. 11. Vasquez B.	7. Beckford D. 44. Dicarlo J. (G) 94. Hairston M. 17. Jimenez J. 8. Moreira J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Siaha A. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Obregon J. (Pen),
29', Lawrence K. ↓, Jean-Baptiste A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', 1 - 1, Careaga S. ⚽, Anderson S. (A),
53', Anderson S. 🟨,
55', Farrell J. 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, Obregon J. (Pen),
64', Saydee P. ↓, Bolanos J. ↑,
64', Obregon J. ↓, Blommestijn K. ↑,
66', Makangila B. ↓, Hairston M. ↑,
68', Dieng M. 🟨,
69', Obalola A. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Careaga S. ⚽, Jimenez J. (A),
81', Guezen D. ↓, Powder S. ↑,
81', Bouman D. ↓, Mackic E. ↑,
83', Jean-Baptiste A. 🟨,
88', 2 - 3, Dieng M. ⚽, Edwards K. (A),
90+1', Edwards K. ↓, Moreira J. ↑,
90+2', Bolanos J. 🟨,
90+4', Blommestijn K. 🟨,

Preview

Westchester is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hartford's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Westchester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Westchester has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Westchester SC
USL League One
25.05.25	Westchester SC - Richmond Kickers	2:2 ✺
17.05.25	Westchester SC - Forward Madison	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Westchester SC - Charlotte Independence	2:3 ✺
04.05.25	Spokane Velocity - Westchester SC	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
27.04.25	Westchester SC - Rhode Island	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TTLLL
- Hartford Athletic
USL Championship
28.05.25	Indy Eleven - Hartford Athletic	4:4 ✺
17.05.25	Hartford Athletic - Louisville City	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Hartford Athletic - Detroit City	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Charleston Battery - Hartford Athletic	4:2 ✺
USL Cup
26.04.25	Hartford Athletic - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TTTLW

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