Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Michael A. Carroll Stadium (Indianapolis, IN)

Referee: Carvajal E. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Indy Eleven		Hartford Athletic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.60	3.70
	1.71	3.50	4.00
	1.84	3.80	4.44
	1.84	3.89	3.73	Watch
	1.76	3.65	4.35
	1.78	3.56	3.89	Watch
	1.82	3.55	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.71)	3.65 ↓ (4)	3.98 ↓ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indy Eleven
51.6%

Draw
25.2%

Hartford Athletic
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

23.2%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

22.6%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Indy Eleven - Hartford Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dick E. (G) 17. Neidlinger L. 37. Craig P. 4. Herbert A. 29. Mitrano A. 90. Mesanvi L. 5. O'Brien J. 6. Lindley C. (C) 8. Blake J. 27. Rendon B. 19. Kizza E.	77. Siaha A. (G) 22. Presthus T. 4. Scarlett J. (C) 25. Fischer B. 5. Njie B. 8. Moreira J. 18. Hadjipaschalis C. 16. Coffey B. 24. Flynn G. 17. Anaku S. 29. Taofeek A.
Substitutes
23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 36. Kibunguchy N. 18. Okello N. 22. Omar M. 21. Rasheed M. 20. Sing D. 10. Williams K.	7. Adedokun M. 2. Anderson S. 1. Carvalho E. (G) 20. Hernandez A. 81. Obalola A. 19. Samadia E. 9. Williams A.
Coaches
McAuley S.	Burke B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Kizza E. ⚽, Blake J. (A),
4', Burke B. 🟨,
24', Herbert A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Scarlett J. 🟨,
57', Anaku S. 🟨,
59', Hadjipaschalis C. ↓, Adedokun M. ↑,
59', Taofeek A. ↓, Williams A. ↑,
59', Flynn G. ↓, Anderson S. ↑,
59', Anaku S. ↓, Obalola A. ↑,
68', Njie B. ↓, Samadia E. ↑,
72', Neidlinger L. 🟨,
74', 1 - 1, Scarlett J. ⚽, Anderson S. (A),
74', Neidlinger L. ↓, Kibunguchy N. ↑,
74', Rendon B. ↓, Okello N. ↑,
83', Mesanvi L. ↓, Rasheed M. ↑,
90+3', Kibunguchy N. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 2.

Indy is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hartford has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Indy will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Indy won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 2.5:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
31.07.26	San Antonio - Indy Eleven	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Indy Eleven - Loudoun United	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Detroit City - Indy Eleven	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Miami - Indy Eleven	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Indy Eleven - Charleston Battery	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLLW
- Hartford Athletic
USL Championship
01.08.26	Loudoun United - Hartford Athletic	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Phoenix Rising - Hartford Athletic	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Hartford Athletic - Westchester SC	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
08.07.26	Hartford Athletic - Orange County SC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
28.03.26	Hartford Athletic - Indy Eleven	2:2
03.09.25	Hartford Athletic - Indy Eleven	0:2
28.05.25	Indy Eleven - Hartford Athletic	4:4
07.09.24	Hartford Athletic - Indy Eleven	0:0
18.05.24	Indy Eleven - Hartford Athletic	4:1
24.06.23	Hartford Athletic - Indy Eleven	0:2
10.06.23	Indy Eleven - Hartford Athletic	1:1

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