Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 26

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Wanderers Football Park (Sydney)


	Western Sydney Wanderers U23		Rockdale Ilinden

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.25	4.8	1.43
	5.1	4.9	1.4
	6.3	5.72	1.35
	4.95	5.48	1.45	Watch
	5.8	4.6	1.4
	5.99	4.95	1.37	Watch
	5	4.2	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.48 ↑ (4.64)	4.95 ↑ (4.5)	1.41 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Sydney Wanderers U23
16.6%

Draw
18.4%

Rockdale Ilinden
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

20.2%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

19.5%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Sydney Wanderers U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Rockdale Ilinden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Sydney Wanderers U23 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rockdale Ilinden than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - Rockdale Ilinden Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rockdale Ilinden (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone NPL NSW (Relegation) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Rockdale Ilinden may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rockdale Ilinden is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 1.5:5.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Sydney Wanderers U23
Australian NPL NSW
25.07.25	Manly United - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	3:2 ✺
18.07.25	Sydney FC U23 - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - Marconi Stallions	0:1 ✺
04.07.25	Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:1 ✺
28.06.25	Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - Wollongong Wolves	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLLT
- Rockdale Ilinden
Australian NPL NSW
27.07.25	Rockdale Ilinden - Sydney United	0:0 ✺
19.07.25	North West Sydney Spirit - Rockdale Ilinden	6:3 ✺
13.07.25	Rockdale Ilinden - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	1:4 ✺
06.07.25	Blacktown City - Rockdale Ilinden	1:3 ✺
29.06.25	Rockdale Ilinden - Sutherland Sharks	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
19.04.25	Rockdale Ilinden - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	8:1
09.06.24	Rockdale Ilinden - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	3:2

Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - Rockdale Ilinden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide