The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Blacktown City 33.8%
Draw 26.2%
Rockdale Ilinden 39.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.1%
24.2%
47.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
23.9%
47.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blacktown City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blacktown City's performance.
Rockdale Ilinden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rockdale Ilinden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blacktown City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blacktown City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rockdale Ilinden than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rockdale Ilinden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Blacktown City - Rockdale Ilinden Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 1 - 1, ⚽,
77', 🟥,
81', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone NPL NSW (Relegation) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blacktown City won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Rockdale Ilinden might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Blacktown City won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 35:35. (average 1.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Blacktown City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.2:1.7).