Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL Northern NSW - Round 18

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday


	Weston Workers Bears		Valentine Phoenix

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.7	3.3	Watch
	1.9	3.75	3.25
	1.87	3.75	3.4	Watch
	1.92	4.16	3.29
	1.85	4.11	3.55	Watch
	1.85	3.75	3.25
	1.91	3.78	3.25	Watch
	1.88	3.8	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.39)	3.85 ↑ (3.45)	3.32 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weston Workers Bears
48.7%

Draw
23.8%

Valentine Phoenix
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

26.2%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

26.6%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weston Workers Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Weston Workers Bears's performance.

Valentine Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valentine Phoenix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weston Workers Bears than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Weston Workers Bears that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentine Phoenix than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valentine Phoenix could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Weston Workers Bears - Valentine Phoenix Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weston Workers Bears
Australian NPL Northern NSW
26.06.24	Broadmeadow Magic - Weston Workers Bears	5:0 ✺
16.06.24	Weston Workers Bears - Lambton Jaffas	1:2 ✺
25.05.24	Maitland - Weston Workers Bears	0:1 ✺
19.05.24	Weston Workers Bears - Edgeworth Eagles	0:2 ✺
12.05.24	Weston Workers Bears - Cooks Hill United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL
- Valentine Phoenix
Australian NPL Northern NSW
29.06.24	Edgeworth Eagles - Valentine Phoenix	3:0 ✺
22.06.24	Valentine Phoenix - Cooks Hill United	1:1 ✺
15.06.24	Lake Macquarie City - Valentine Phoenix	0:2 ✺
25.05.24	Valentine Phoenix - New Lambton	2:0 ✺
22.05.24	Valentine Phoenix - Newcastle Olympic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
13.04.24	Valentine Phoenix - Weston Workers Bears	2:0
02.07.23	Weston Workers Bears - Valentine Phoenix	2:3
03.05.23	Valentine Phoenix - Weston Workers Bears	1:0
14.08.22	Valentine Phoenix - Weston Workers Bears	2:1
24.04.22	Weston Workers Bears - Valentine Phoenix	2:0
19.06.21	Weston Workers Bears - Valentine Phoenix	2:1
03.04.21	Valentine Phoenix - Weston Workers Bears	0:1

Weston Workers Bears - Valentine Phoenix: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide