Match Info

National League South - Round 4

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday


	Weston-super-Mare		Maidenhead United

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.25	2.15
	2.88	3.4	2.2
	2.96	3.37	2.31
	2.85	3.31	2.37	Watch
	2.86	3.54	2.29
	2.83	3.52	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.72)	3.4 ↓ (3.55)	2.26 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weston-super-Mare
32.2%

Draw
27.1%

Maidenhead United
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

26%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

25.4%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weston-super-Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Maidenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Weston super Mare - Maidenhead United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Weston-super-Mare (votes: 1 - 50%). Maidenhead (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 0, Skinner L. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Weston-super-Mare won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Weston-super-Mare won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Weston-super-Mare won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Weston-super-Mare - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 33.91%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
19.08.25	Chippenham Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Weston-super-Mare - Chelmsford City	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Hornchurch - Weston-super-Mare	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Weston-super-Mare - Yeovil Town	1:0 ✺
29.07.25	Weston-super-Mare - Bristol City U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WTLWL
- Maidenhead United
English National League South
19.08.25	Maidenhead United - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Enfield Town - Maidenhead United	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Maidenhead United - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Oxford City - Maidenhead United	0:1 ✺
29.07.25	Maidenhead United - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
14.10.23	Weston-super-Mare - Maidenhead United	0:3
English National League South
11.03.17	Weston-super-Mare - Maidenhead United	1:3
24.09.16	Maidenhead United - Weston-super-Mare	3:0
23.04.16	Weston-super-Mare - Maidenhead United	2:0
17.10.15	Maidenhead United - Weston-super-Mare	2:0
11.04.15	Weston-super-Mare - Maidenhead United	0:2
07.10.14	Maidenhead United - Weston-super-Mare	6:2

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