Match Info

Division 1 - Round 30

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Location: Ferrycarrig Park (Wexford)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	LOI TV


	Wexford		Dundalk

	1	X	2
	4.8	4	1.5
	5.7	4.35	1.46
	6.09	4.55	1.48
	5.62	3.78	1.58	Watch
	5.74	4.3	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.59 ↑ (5.39)	4.2 ↑ (4.16)	1.5 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wexford
16.5%

Draw
22%

Dundalk
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

22.3%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

21.5%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wexford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Dundalk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wexford than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Wexford - Dundalk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Dundalk (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dundalk will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dundalk will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Dundalk (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Martin P. (G) 44. Osam E. 5. McCourt R. 6. Larkin D. 3. Crawford J. 80. McCormack B. 15. Harnett K. 16. Abada Z. 14. Levingston C. 7. Rowe M. 10. Dobbs A.	18. Cherrie P. (G) 2. O'Keeffe C. 4. Animasahun M. 31. Wilson J. 7. Horgan D. 8. Groome H. 6. Dervin A. 14. Garbett N. 27. McDaid D. 9. Ebbe D. 11. Arubi G.
Substitutes
24. Browne C. 13. Flynn C. 23. Haris M. 28. McCarthy M. 1. Moody A. (G) 31. O'Brien M. 27. Scanlon R. 22. Sherlock H. 17. Wasilewski F.	13. Alfred C. 24. Molloy S. (G) 12. Mulligan L. 23. Paraschiv A. 20. Safaei S. (G) 26. Tracey S. 22. Vaughan E. 29. Vaughan R. 17. Ward K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Ebbe D. 🟨,
20', McDaid D. 🟨,
21', Animasahun M. 🟨,
21', 🟨,
27', Groome H. 🟨,
45+1', Levingston C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Levingston C. ↓, O'Brien M. ↑,
58', Horgan D. ↓, Vaughan R. ↑,
62', McCormack B. 🟨,
63', Harnett K. ↓, Flynn C. ↑,
67', Ebbe D. ↓, Tracey S. ↑,
67', Garbett N. ↓, Ward K. ↑,
77', Dobbs A. ↓, Haris M. ↑,
85', Abada Z. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wexford won 0.

Wexford is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dundalk is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Dundalk is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wexford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 1.1:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wexford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wexford FC
Irish Division 1
30.08.25	Longford Town - Wexford	2:2 ✺
22.08.25	Wexford - Bray Wanderers	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	University College Dublin - Wexford	1:0 ✺
04.08.25	Cobh Ramblers - Wexford	4:0 ✺
01.08.25	Wexford - Finn Harps	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLLW
- Dundalk FC
Irish Division 1
29.08.25	Dundalk - Kerry	3:3 ✺
22.08.25	Treaty United - Dundalk	0:7 ✺
08.08.25	Dundalk - Athlone Town	6:1 ✺
04.08.25	Dundalk - Longford Town	4:1 ✺
01.08.25	University College Dublin - Dundalk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
25.07.25	Dundalk - Wexford	3:2
30.05.25	Wexford - Dundalk	2:3
28.03.25	Dundalk - Wexford	3:0
Club Friendly
07.02.23	Dundalk - Wexford	3:1
Irish FAI Cup
26.08.22	Wexford - Dundalk	2:3 ET
Irish Premier Division
26.08.16	Wexford - Dundalk	0:1
29.05.16	Dundalk - Wexford	3:2

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