Match Info

Division 1 - Round 29

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: Oriel Park (Dundalk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	LOI TV


	Dundalk		Kerry

	1	X	2
	1.26	5	8.5
	1.28	5.15	8.6
	1.26	5.62	10.99
	2.56	3.07	2.79	Watch
	1.3	4.8	9
	1.32	5.78	7.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.31)	4.9 ↓ (5.21)	7.87 ↓ (8.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundalk
66.9%

Draw
20.4%

Kerry
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

17.7%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.5%

16.6%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundalk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Kerry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dundalk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kerry than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dundalk - Kerry Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Dundalk (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Dundalk (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC, 2nd Half - Dundalk (1.04) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC, 1st Half - Dundalk (1.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Dundalk (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dundalk will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dundalk will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Dundalk (votes: 12 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Minogue E. (G) 31. Wilson J. 15. Leonard V. 12. Mulligan L. 4. Animasahun M. 23. Paraschiv A. 27. McDaid D. 6. Dervin A. 7. Horgan D. 16. Kenny E. 11. Arubi G.	16. Connor M. (G) 29. Lee E. 4. Crowe O. 3. O'Connell S. 5. McQueen C. 36. Perez R. 6. Mujaguzi C. 28. Brookwell N. 8. Teahan R. (C) 10. Adams J. 14. Cleary R.
Substitutes
18. Cherrie P. (G) 9. Ebbe D. 14. Garbett N. 8. Groome H. . Molloy T. 2. O'Keeffe C. 19. Spaight S. . Vaughan R. 17. Ward K.	18. Aladesanusi S. 23. Barrett F. 17. Brosnan C. 46. Doolan L. 40. Foley D. (G) 20. Healy A. 7. Mcgrath S. 21. Palmer L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Teahan R. ⚽,
40', Connor M. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Horgan D. (Pen),
42', 1 - 2, Cleary R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Paraschiv A. ↓, Ward K. ↑,
46', Mulligan L. ↓, Garbett N. ↑,
46', Animasahun M. ↓, O'Keeffe C. ↑,
47', 2 - 2, Horgan D. ⚽,
47', 2 - 3, Teahan R. ⚽,
53', 3 - 3, Ward K. ⚽,
53', Perez R. ↓, Brosnan C. ↑,
54', Arubi G. 🟨,
65', Crowe O. ↓, Healy A. ↑,
68', Arubi G. ↓, Vaughan R. ↑,
81', Cleary R. ↓, Palmer L. ↑,

Preview

Dundalk has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kerry is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dundalk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kerry has had a series of home games.

In this match, Dundalk is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dundalk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 2.3:0).

Including home match between the teams, Dundalk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundalk FC
Irish Division 1
22.08.25	Treaty United - Dundalk	0:7 ✺
08.08.25	Dundalk - Athlone Town	6:1 ✺
04.08.25	Dundalk - Longford Town	4:1 ✺
01.08.25	University College Dublin - Dundalk	0:1 ✺
25.07.25	Dundalk - Wexford	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW
- Kerry FC Ireland
Irish Division 1
22.08.25	Kerry - Longford Town	1:0 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
15.08.25	Kerry - Cobh Ramblers	2:0 ✺
Irish Division 1
08.08.25	Kerry - Finn Harps	0:1 ✺
04.08.25	Treaty United - Kerry	1:1 ✺
01.08.25	Kerry - Athlone Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
04.07.25	Kerry - Dundalk	0:4
23.05.25	Dundalk - Kerry	2:0
28.02.25	Kerry - Dundalk	0:1

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