Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 41

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Weymouth		Chertsey Town

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.55	3.05
	2.02	3.58	3.16
	2.03	3.82	3.16	Watch
	2	3.48	3.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.27)	3.61 ↓ (3.63)	3.14 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weymouth
45.5%

Draw
25.3%

Chertsey Town
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

24.8%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

24.3%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Weymouth's performance.

Chertsey Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chertsey Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chertsey Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Weymouth - Chertsey Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Goodship B. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
51', 2 - 0, Goodship B. ⚽,
56', 3 - 0, Pollock E. ⚽,
64', 4 - 0, Goodship B. ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 1, Robertson L. ⚽,
90+5', 5 - 1, Brooks C. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Weymouth could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Weymouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chertsey	9	4	2	3	20:15	5	14

Last Results with these Odds

Weymouth - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 39.67%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Chertsey Town - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 35.58%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English Southern League South Division
11.04.26	Hanwell Town - Weymouth	4:0 ✺
06.04.26	Weymouth - Dorchester Town	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Bracknell Town - Weymouth	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Weymouth - Sholing	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Yate Town - Weymouth	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTWLW
- Chertsey Town
English Southern League South Division
11.04.26	Chertsey Town - Poole Town	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Walton & Hersham - Chertsey Town	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Chertsey Town - Yate Town	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Farnham Town - Chertsey Town	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Chertsey Town - Wimborne Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
06.12.25	Chertsey Town - Weymouth	4:0

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