Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 36

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Yate Town		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.6
	2.78	3.35	2.2
	2.86	3.42	2.26
	2.82	3.71	2.25	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.2
	2.83	3.36	2.22
	2.5	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.3)	3.34 ↓ (3.61)	2.33 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yate Town
33.7%

Draw
27.3%

Weymouth
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

24.9%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

24.9%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yate Town's form might have worsened.

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yate Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Yate Town - Weymouth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Robinson A. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Brooks C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Yate has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Weymouth has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yate won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Yate Town	9	3	3	3	13:18	-5	12

Last Results with these Odds

Weymouth - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.02%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
14.03.26	Plymouth Parkway - Yate Town	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Yate Town - Wimborne Town	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Farnham Town - Yate Town	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Walton & Hersham - Yate Town	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Yate Town - Farnham Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Weymouth
English Southern League South Division
14.03.26	Weymouth - Hungerford Town	4:0 ✺
07.03.26	Tiverton Town - Weymouth	0:4 ✺
28.02.26	Weymouth - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Uxbridge - Weymouth	5:1 ✺
14.02.26	Weymouth - Havant & Waterlooville	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
01.11.25	Weymouth - Yate Town	2:2

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