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Current Win Probability
Chertsey Town 45%
Draw 25.3%
Poole Town 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
24.8%
28.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
23.9%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chertsey Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Chertsey Town - Poole Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Robertson L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', 1 - 1, Saied S. ⚽,
73', 1 - 2, Tarbuck B. ⚽,
78', 1 - 3, Chioma N. ⚽,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 10th).
Chertsey is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Poole have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Chertsey may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Chertsey has faced a series of away games on the road.
Chertsey is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Chertsey has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:6 (averaging 0.8:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chertsey against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
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