Match Info

Date: 26 April 2022, Tuesday


	Weymouth		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	8	5.5	1.25
	9.25	5.75	1.26
	8.5	5.1	1.28
	9.2	5.6	1.25
	10.58	5.9	1.26
	9.5	4.8	1.27
	11.75	6.25	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.54 ↑ (8.37)	5.56 ↑ (4.66)	1.26 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weymouth
9.7%

Draw
16.7%

Wrexham
73.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.1%

19.9%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.1%

19.8%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	9.1%	77.3%

Weymouth - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Weymouth will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Wrexham will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Weymouth is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wrexham is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Wrexham have a series of home games.

In this match Wrexham is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Weymouth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Weymouth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English National League
23.04.22	Notts County - Weymouth	3:1 ✺
18.04.22	Weymouth - Yeovil Town	0:0 ✺
15.04.22	Maidenhead United - Weymouth	2:0 ✺
09.04.22	Weymouth - Grimsby Town	0:0 ✺
26.03.22	Torquay United - Weymouth	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLTL
- Wrexham AFC
English National League
23.04.22	Woking - Wrexham	2:1 ✺
18.04.22	Wrexham - Altrincham	4:0 ✺
15.04.22	Wrexham - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
09.04.22	Wrexham - Eastleigh	3:2 ✺
05.04.22	Wrexham - Barnet	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
11.12.21	Wrexham - Weymouth	1:0
13.03.21	Wrexham - Weymouth	2:0
15.12.20	Weymouth - Wrexham	2:3

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