Match Info

National League South - Round 45

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday

Location: Plainmoor (Torquay)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Torquay United		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.6	7.5
	1.43	4.6	6.2
	1.42	5.42	5.65
	1.43	5.11	5.94	Watch
	1.35	4.6	8
	1.39	4.9	6.28
	1.43	4.6	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.51)	4.83 ↑ (4.13)	6.54 ↑ (5.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torquay United
66.6%

Draw
19.2%

Weymouth
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

22.4%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

21.8%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torquay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torquay United's performance.

Weymouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Torquay United - Weymouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Torquay will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Weymouth will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Weymouth (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Weymouth (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Weymouth (4.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Weymouth (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Dyer J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 2 - 0, Jay M. ⚽,
71', 3 - 0, Foulston J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Weymouth is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Torquay won 3.

Torquay is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Weymouth is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Torquay is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Torquay to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Torquay won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17:9 (average 2.4:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Torquay won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torquay United
English National League South
18.04.25	Truro City - Torquay United	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Torquay United - Slough Town	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Torquay United - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Aveley - Torquay United	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Torquay United - Bath City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWW
- Weymouth
English National League South
18.04.25	Weymouth - Salisbury	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Maidstone United - Weymouth	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Eastbourne Borough - Weymouth	4:1 ✺
29.03.25	Weymouth - Slough Town	4:0 ✺
22.03.25	Chippenham Town - Weymouth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.12.24	Weymouth - Torquay United	2:2
02.03.24	Weymouth - Torquay United	1:1
05.12.23	Torquay United - Weymouth	3:1
English National League
26.03.22	Torquay United - Weymouth	3:0
04.12.21	Weymouth - Torquay United	1:2
10.04.21	Torquay United - Weymouth	2:1
28.12.20	Weymouth - Torquay United	3:4

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