Match Info

Date: 12 October 2021, Tuesday


	Whitby Town		Scarborough Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.3
	1.91	3.35	3.45
	1.99	3.54	3.56
	1.91	3.4	3.4
	1.94	3.58	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.91)	3.45 ↓ (3.64)	3.44 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitby Town
47.2%

Draw
26.4%

Scarborough Athletic
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

25.4%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

17%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Scarborough Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Whitby Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scarborough Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Whitby Town - Scarborough Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Whitby is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Scarborough is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Scarborough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Whitby will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Whitby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Whitby won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
09.10.21	Whitby Town - Witton Albion	0:1 ✺
05.10.21	Buxton - Whitby Town	4:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.10.21	York City - Whitby Town	2:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
28.09.21	Whitby Town - Stalybridge Celtic	0:1 ✺
25.09.21	Whitby Town - Hyde United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW
- Scarborough Athletic
English NPL Premier Division
09.10.21	Stafford Rangers - Scarborough Athletic	0:1 ✺
02.10.21	Scarborough Athletic - Mickleover Sports	1:1 ✺
28.09.21	United of Manchester - Scarborough Athletic	6:0 ✺
25.09.21	Grantham Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:2 ✺
14.09.21	Scarborough Athletic - Stalybridge Celtic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
20.10.20	Scarborough Athletic - Whitby Town	2:1
30.11.19	Scarborough Athletic - Whitby Town	2:1
03.09.19	Whitby Town - Scarborough Athletic	2:0
01.01.19	Whitby Town - Scarborough Athletic	2:0
27.08.18	Scarborough Athletic - Whitby Town	1:1

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