Match Info

Date: 5 October 2021, Tuesday


	Buxton		Whitby Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.14	3.15	3.05
	2.22	3.31	3.2
	2.38	3.2	2.88
	2.15	3.34	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.3)	3.22 ↓ (3.32)	3.02 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxton
41.1%

Draw
28.5%

Whitby Town
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

27.9%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

19.3%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Whitby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Buxton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Whitby Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Buxton - Whitby Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Buxton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Buxton will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Buxton won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Buxton won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buxton FC
English NPL Premier Division
28.09.21	Gainsborough Trinity - Buxton	0:0 ✺
25.09.21	Buxton - Morpeth Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
18.09.21	Buxton - Rushall Olympic	4:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
14.09.21	Warrington Town - Buxton	2:2 ✺
11.09.21	Ashton United - Buxton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTWTT
- Whitby Town
English FA Cup
02.10.21	York City - Whitby Town	2:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
28.09.21	Whitby Town - Stalybridge Celtic	0:1 ✺
25.09.21	Whitby Town - Hyde United	1:0 ✺
14.09.21	Atherton Collieries - Whitby Town	0:1 ✺
11.09.21	Mickleover Sports - Whitby Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
26.09.20	Buxton - Whitby Town	2:2
24.08.19	Buxton - Whitby Town	3:3
05.01.19	Buxton - Whitby Town	2:0
18.08.18	Whitby Town - Buxton	1:0
28.04.18	Whitby Town - Buxton	1:1
26.09.17	Buxton - Whitby Town	0:2
21.01.17	Whitby Town - Buxton	4:2

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