Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 8

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Turnbull Ground (Whitby)


	Whitby Town		Stockton Town

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2
	3.05	3.35	2.05
	3.09	3.5	2.06
	6.49	4.70	1.41	Watch
	3.08	3.28	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.05)	3.63 ↑ (3.53)	1.93 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitby Town
25.2%

Draw
26%

Stockton Town
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

25.6%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

25.8%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Stockton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Whitby Town - Stockton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Sweet M. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Charles J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Stockton Town might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Whitby won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Including home match between the teams, Whitby won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Whitby Town - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.63%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
06.09.25	Ilkeston - Whitby Town	0:1 ✺
25.08.25	Whitby Town - Hebburn Town	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Hyde United - Whitby Town	5:2 ✺
19.08.25	United of Manchester - Whitby Town	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Whitby Town - Warrington Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLLW
- Stockton Town
English NPL Premier Division
06.09.25	Stockton Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	3:2 ✺
25.08.25	Stockton Town - Morpeth Town	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Rushall Olympic - Stockton Town	2:2 ✺
19.08.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Stockton Town	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Stockton Town - Hyde United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
01.01.25	Whitby Town - Stockton Town	0:2
26.08.24	Stockton Town - Whitby Town	2:0

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