The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lewes 48.7%
Draw 23.7%
Whitehawk 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.2%
23.3%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
22.7%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lewes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lewes's performance.
Whitehawk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Whitehawk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitehawk than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Whitehawk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lewes - Whitehawk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 1 - 0, Richardson M. ⚽,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 20th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lewes won 2.
Lewes has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Whitehawk is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Lewes could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Lewes is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Lewes has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:15 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lewes against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 10:6 goals (averaging 2:1.2 per game).
Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now
Lewes: 4.83% Whitehawk: 0.33%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Lewes
10
6
1
3
15:11
4
19
21
Whitehawk
10
1
2
7
10:22
-12
5
Last Results with these Odds
Whitehawk - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.56%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.
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