Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 11

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Widzewa Łódź (Lodz) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Canada	14:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	20:30	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Poland	20:30	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	20:30	Arena Sport 1x2
Usa	14:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports 5, beIN Sports US Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA


	Widzew Łódź		Wisła Kraków

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.30	3.50	2.80
	2.32	3.4	2.75
	2.5	3.55	2.87
	2.39	3.6	2.84
	2.4	3.5	2.8
	2.38	3.51	2.89	Watch
	2.33	3.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.16)	3.49 ↑ (3.13)	2.81 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Widzew Łódź
39.7%

Draw
26.9%

Wisła Kraków
33.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

28.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

28.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Widzew Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Wisła Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Widzew Łódź - Wisła Kraków Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Widzew will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Wisła will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Widzew (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Widzew (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dragowski B. (C) 70. Gazibegovic J. 25. Wisniewski P. 14. Visus R. 3. Kapuadi S. 5. Papanikolaou G. 79. Biuk S. 10. Alvarez F. 80. Dani Silva 7. Fornalczyk M. 28. Swiderski K.	1. Lubik M. (G) 34. Giger R. 6. Uryga A. (C) 29. Grujcic D. 52. Krzyzanowski J. 41. Duda K. 12. Igbekeme J. 10. Duarte F. 7. Ertlthaler J. 2. Lelieveld J. 9. Rodado A.
Substitutes
99. Bergier S. 17. Cheng C. 48. Golanski F. (G) 30. Ilic V. (G) 20. Klukowski A. 8. Kornvig E. 91. Krajewski M. 19. Males D. 18. Selahi L. 6. Shehu J. 90. Vermesan I. 4. Zyro M.	97. Biedrzycki W. 8. Carbo M. 50. Kutwa M. 13. Maisonneuve M. 23. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 4. Mikulec R. 93. Neugebauer B. (G) 32. Plawinski O. 27. Youan E.
Coaches
Stolarski M.	Jop M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Papanikolaou G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Papanikolaou G. ↓, Selahi L. ↑,
46', Alvarez F. ↓, Shehu J. ↑,
48', Fornalczyk M. 🟨,
66', Rodado A. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Dani Silva ↓, Kornvig E. ↑,
67', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Males D. ↑,
72', Lelieveld J. ↓, Youan E. ↑,
73', Igbekeme J. ↓, Carbo M. ↑,
76', Swiderski K. ↓, Vermesan I. ↑,
90', Selahi L. 🟨,
90+3', Shehu J. 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 13th and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Widzew (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Wisła shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Widzew could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Widzew has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:12 (averaging 0.8:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Widzew against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:6 goals (averaging 1.3:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Wisla	12	6	3	3	19:15	4	21
14	Widzew Lodz	12	1	8	3	15:16	-1	11

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Wisla: 4.72% Widzew Lodz: 3.01%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Widzew Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.10.26	Piast Gliwice - Widzew Łódź	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Widzew Łódź - Wieczysta Kraków	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Legia Warsaw - Widzew Łódź	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Widzew Łódź - Radomiak Radom	0:0 ✺
Polish Cup
02.09.26	Widzew Łódź - Korona Kielce	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTTTL
- Wisła Kraków
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.10.26	Legia Warsaw - Wisła Kraków	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Piast Gliwice - Wisła Kraków	3:4 ✺
26.09.26	Dalin Myślenice - Wisła Kraków	0:4 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.09.26	Wisła Kraków - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Wisła Kraków - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
28.02.24	Wisła Kraków - Widzew Łódź	2:1 ET
02.12.21	Widzew Łódź - Wisła Kraków	1:3
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.04.14	Widzew Łódź - Wisła Kraków	2:1
29.10.13	Wisła Kraków - Widzew Łódź	3:0
26.04.13	Wisła Kraków - Widzew Łódź	1:0
26.10.12	Widzew Łódź - Wisła Kraków	1:2

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