Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 4

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Widzewa Łódź (Lodz)

Referee: Arys K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV


	Widzew Łódź		Śląsk Wrocław

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.25
	2.2	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.23	3.35	3.47
	2.21	3.3	3.39	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.19	3.3	3.28	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.98)	3.23 ↓ (3.3)	3.31 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Widzew Łódź
42.7%

Draw
29%

Śląsk Wrocław
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.4%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

27.5%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Widzew Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Widzew Łódź, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	27.8%	11.1%

Widzew Łódź - Śląsk Wrocław Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Widzew will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Śląsk will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Widzew: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gikiewicz R. (G) 62. Kastrati L. II. 4. Zyro M. 15. Ibiza 3. Kozlovsky S. 10. Alvarez F. 25. Hanousek Mar. (C) 7. Lukowski J. 77. Sypek J. 9. Rondic I. 47. Klimek A.	12. Leszczynski R. (G) 33. Matsenko Y. 87. Petrov S. 5. Petkov A. (C) 78. Guercio T. 16. Pokorny P. 26. Ince B. 77. Cebula M. 17. Schwarz P. 10. Nahuel M. 11. Musiolik S.
Substitutes
78. Cybulski K. 8. Gong H. 5. Hajrizi K. 37. Kerk S. 91. Krajewski M. 33. Krzywanski J. (G) 6. Shehu J. 2. Silva L. 17. Sobol H.	21. Baluta T. 29. Jezierski J. 19. Ortiz A. 2. Paluszek A. 27. Rejczyk F. 7. Samiec-Talar P. 44. Sliczniak H. (G) 3. Szota S. 22. Zukowski M.
Coaches
Mysliwiec D.	Magiera J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Sypek J. ↓, Gong H. ↑,
63', Klimek A. ↓, Cybulski K. ↑,
63', Lukowski J. ↓, Kerk S. ↑,
64', Kozlovsky S. 🟥,
66', Ince B. ↓, Samiec-Talar P. ↑,
66', Nahuel M. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
67', Rondic I. ↓, Silva L. ↑,
84', Cebula M. ↓, Jezierski J. ↑,
84', Matsenko Y. ↓, Zukowski M. ↑,
86', Ortiz A. 🟨,
89', Alvarez F. ↓, Shehu J. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Widzew won 2.

Widzew is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Śląsk is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Śląsk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Widzew will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Śląsk: Glogowski B. (Injury) Poprawa K. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Widzew won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Widzew won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Widzew Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.08.24	Cracovia - Widzew Łódź	1:3 ✺
27.07.24	Widzew Łódź - Lech Poznań	2:1 ✺
22.07.24	Stal Mielec - Widzew Łódź	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Widzew Łódź - Baník Ostrava	2:1 ✺
29.06.24	Widzew Łódź - Motor Lublin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWTWL
- Śląsk Wrocław
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.24	St. Gallen - Śląsk Wrocław	2:0 ✺
01.08.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Riga	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.07.24	Piast Gliwice - Śląsk Wrocław	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.24	Riga - Śląsk Wrocław	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.07.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Lechia Gdańsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
02.03.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Widzew Łódź	2:1
25.08.23	Widzew Łódź - Śląsk Wrocław	0:2
17.02.23	Widzew Łódź - Śląsk Wrocław	1:0
06.08.22	Śląsk Wrocław - Widzew Łódź	0:0
Polish Cup
24.09.19	Widzew Łódź - Śląsk Wrocław	2:0
23.09.14	Widzew Łódź - Śląsk Wrocław	1:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
12.05.14	Śląsk Wrocław - Widzew Łódź	1:0

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