Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Tarczynski Arena (Wrocław)

Referee: Nuza G. (Kos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat, Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Fight, Polsat Sport Premium 3


	Śląsk Wrocław		Riga

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.57	3.9	5
	1.62	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.59	4.2	5.8
	1.62	3.98	5.11	Watch
	1.61	4	5.16	Watch
	1.62	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.75)	3.91 ↑ (3.65)	5.37 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Śląsk Wrocław
58.7%

Draw
23.9%

Riga
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

25.4%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

25.8%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Śląsk Wrocław's performance.

Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.2%	12.5%	8.3%

Śląsk Wrocław - Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: Śląsk Wrocław will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Leszczynski R. (G) 22. Zukowski M. 5. Petkov A. (C) 87. Petrov S. 3. Szota S. 16. Pokorny P. 7. Samiec-Talar P. 17. Schwarz P. 27. Rejczyk F. 10. Nahuel M. 11. Musiolik S.	1. Matrevics R. (G) 13. Jurkovskis R. 34. Cernomordijs A. (C) 3. Ngom M. 35. Erquiaga I. 93. Nguena K. 9. Contreras A. 14. Babec H. 8. Jojic M. 22. Niang O. 10. Reginaldo Ramires
Substitutes
21. Baluta T. 77. Cebula M. 6. Gerstenstein L. 78. Guercio T. 26. Ince B. 29. Jezierski J. 1. Loska T. (G) 33. Matsenko Y. 8. Olsen P. 19. Ortiz A. 2. Paluszek A. 44. Sliczniak H. (G)	23. Daskevics E. 33. Iljins K. 77. Mankenda G. 25. Muzinga N. 7. Orosco B. 11. Pena B. 16. Purins N. (G) 18. Regza M. 12. Zommers K. (G)
Coaches
Magiera J.	Valakari S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Nahuel M. (Pen),
24', Rejczyk F. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Babec H. ⚽,
34', Babec H. 🟨,
34', Nahuel M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Rejczyk F. ↓, Cebula M. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Petrov S. ⚽, Nahuel M. (A),
52', 3 - 1, Nahuel M. ⚽,
57', Nguena K. ↓, Orosco B. ↑,
61', Orosco B. 🟥,
61', Petkov A. 🟨,
67', Pokorny P. 🟨,
68', Jurkovskis R. ↓, Mankenda G. ↑,
68', Erquiaga I. ↓, Muzinga N. ↑,
74', Szota S. 🟨,
77', Samiec-Talar P. ↓, Ince B. ↑,
77', Szota S. ↓, Guercio T. ↑,
83', Jojic M. ↓, Daskevics E. ↑,
83', Niang O. ↓, Regza M. ↑,
85', Nahuel M. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
86', Zukowski M. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Recent matches Śląsk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Riga is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Śląsk is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Śląsk won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.07.24	Piast Gliwice - Śląsk Wrocław	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.24	Riga - Śląsk Wrocław	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.07.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Lechia Gdańsk	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Mladá Boleslav	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Opava - Śląsk Wrocław	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTTW
- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
28.07.24	Riga - BFC Daugavpils	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.24	Riga - Śląsk Wrocław	1:0 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
19.07.24	Riga - Jelgava	6:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
13.07.24	JFK Ventspils - Riga	0:3 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
07.07.24	Liepāja - Riga	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.24	Riga - Śląsk Wrocław	1:0

Upcoming Matches